Seven Indicators That Move Markets

Seven Indicators That Move Markets pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2026

出版者:McGraw-Hill Trade
作者:Paul KasrielKeith Schap
出品人:
页数:224
译者:
出版时间:2002-9
价格:$ 33.84
装帧:
isbn号码:9780071370134
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 市场分析
  • 交易策略
  • 金融市场
  • 技术分析
  • 经济指标
  • 投资
  • 股市
  • 趋势交易
  • 市场预测
  • 投资决策
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具体描述

From newspapers, magazines, financial news networks and the Internet, the media bombards us almost daily with economic data. There is a well publicized calendar of economic numbers - new home starts, unemployment, GDP, CPI, manufacturing and non-manufacturing purchasing numbers. Investors have been told that these numbers affect the capital markets in predictable ways. The problem with these economic reports and numbers is that they are reported with a lag. These numbers are old, in some cases months old. In essence they are actually recapping a past event. These are not the numbers to use to actually predict future market movements. For this, one should use market indicators because they present instant figures and data that are constantly being updated. These indicators are not as well publicized by the mass media but they are more important to understand, especially if you are an investor who wants to get a true picture of the overall market and where it is headed. The following are key market indicators described in this book that truly predict market movements: the Fed funds futures; Treasury yield curve; credit spreads; volatility; option price derivatives; futures price relationships; and industrial commodity prices. The individual investor doesn't have to be an economist to find and understand this data. This data is widely available in newspapers and the Internet. "Seven Indicators That Move Markets" will explain to the individual investor what these indicators are, how to interpret and analyze the data, and how to use this data for investing. To give an example of the importance of market indicators, the TED spread (the difference between the Treasury price and the Eurodollar price) signals a credit problem in the markets. This spread widened in the months preceding the Fall of '98 when Russia defaulted on its loans, the Asian currency crisis was spreading, and LTC Management went bust. Investors seeing this widening TED spread predicted credit problems months ahead of these occurrences. Knowing this kind of information, an individual investor should avoid investing in the financial stock sector. This book is sprinkled throughout with investment advice and real-life scenarios, as timely as this example. "Seven Indicators That Move Markets" should appeal to today's savvy investor who wants to learn as much as they can to protect themselves from future losses, to avoid unnecessary risk and to profit from favourable market conditions.

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这本书的结构设计非常巧妙,每一章的逻辑衔接都如同精密的齿轮咬合,推动着读者不断深入到市场的深层结构。我尤其欣赏作者在论证每一个“指标”的有效性时所引用的跨周期数据和历史类比。这种跨越时间维度的对比,极大地增强了论点的说服力。它不仅仅是关于“买什么”或“卖什么”,更关乎“何时”以及“为何”去采取行动。它提供了一种批判性的思维工具,让你学会质疑主流叙事,去寻找那些真正驱动价格变动的底层力量。读罢掩卷,我感到自己仿佛获得了一副新的“光谱眼镜”,能够穿透市场的迷雾,看到那些真正重要的信号,而不是被表面的喧嚣所迷惑。

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这本书给我的感觉是,作者是一位经验丰富的航海家,他不是把所有的航线图都画给你,而是教你如何利用星象、风向和水流,自己规划出最安全的航道。它的价值在于提供了一套可复制的、高度灵活的分析框架。我发现书中的许多洞察,即使在当前这个快速变化的金融环境中,依然保持着惊人的相关性。它成功地平衡了理论的严谨性与实践的可操作性。如果你厌倦了那些充斥着简单图表和过时策略的书籍,这本书绝对是值得你投入时间去精读的投资。它会帮你建立起一种内在的、对市场波动的免疫力,让你在风浪来临时,能够保持镇定和清晰的判断。

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作为一个长期在市场摸爬滚打的老手,我深知信息爆炸时代里,辨别噪音和真知的重要性。这本书在这方面做得极为出色。它的核心观点,即那几个关键的“指示器”,用一种近乎艺术的手法被编织进了宏观叙事之中,让人在不知不觉中就吸收了精髓。语言风格沉稳而有力,没有华丽辞藻的堆砌,却字字珠玑,直击要害。特别是关于趋势确认和拐点预警的部分,简直是教科书级别的案例解析。我尝试将书中的框架应用到近期的实盘操作中,结果发现对风险的预判能力有了质的飞跃。它迫使你去跳出日常交易的琐碎,从更高的维度去审视资本的流向,这种“俯瞰”的视角,是金钱买不来的宝贵财富。

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这本书简直是市场分析界的“通关秘籍”!我读完后感觉豁然开朗,对那些看似随机的市场波动有了更深层次的理解。作者的叙述方式非常引人入胜,他不是简单地罗列数据,而是用一个个生动的故事和深入浅出的分析,将复杂的宏观经济图景描绘得淋漓尽致。我特别欣赏他对市场心理的洞察力,那往往是技术分析忽略的关键环节。以前我对一些市场反转的现象感到困惑,现在终于明白了背后的逻辑链条是多么严谨。这本书不仅仅是教你如何“看盘”,更是教你如何“思考”,如何建立一个更全面的投资框架。我强烈推荐给所有对金融市场有热情,并希望超越表面现象去探索本质的投资者。它带来的启发远超一本书的价值,更像是一场思维的重塑之旅。

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老实说,刚翻开这本书时,我还有点担心内容会过于学术化,晦涩难懂,但事实证明我的担忧完全是多余的。作者的笔触极其轻快流畅,他似乎有一种魔力,能把最硬核的金融理论,转化成我们可以轻松消化的晚餐谈资。我喜欢他对于“信息不对称”如何影响市场定价的探讨,这部分内容简直是现代金融学的精妙注解。它没有给出任何“快速致富”的承诺,而是脚踏实地地引导读者建立一套审慎、理性的分析体系。对于新手来说,这本书是极佳的入门向导;对于资深人士,它则是一个强有力的“认知校准器”。读完后,我不再盲目追逐热点,而是开始更有条理地构建自己的分析模型。

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