"约瑟夫·埃利斯
Joseph H. Ellis
高盛集团合伙人。1970~1994年,埃利斯专职从事零售业的分析,关注整个行业的发展趋势及一些公司的业绩表现,工作的最终目标是向高盛集团的客户提供整个零售业以及零售企业股票,如沃尔玛、联邦百货、Gap等的投资前景等相关建议。
埃利斯的从业经验已达35年,并连续18年被《机构投资者》(Institutional Investor)杂志评为华尔街第一零售业分析师。"
How to Read the Signs of Economic Change-Before They Impact Your Business and Investments Economic and stock-market cycles affect companies in every industry. Unfortunately, a confusing array of anecdotal and conflicting indicators often renders it impossible for managers and investors to see where the economy is heading in time to take corrective action. Now, a thirty-five-year Wall Street veteran unveils a new forecasting method that will help managers and investors understand and predict the economic cycles that control their businesses and financial fates. In Ahead of the Curve , Joseph H. Ellis argues that the problem with current forecasting models lies not in the data, but rather in the lack of a clear framework for putting the data in context and reading it correctly. The book explains critical economic indicators in nontechnical language, identifies and documents the recurring cause-and-effect relationships that consistently predict turning points in the economy, and provides the tools managers and investors need to position themselves ahead of cyclical upturns and downturns. Economic events are not as random and unpredictable as they seem. This book will help readers recognize and react to signs of change that their rivals don't see-and win a sizeable competitive advantage.
这是一本旧书,原名为《走在曲线之前》2007年中文出版,现在换了个名字没有任何更改(数据还是04年以前的)又印刷一次,没有任何说明,还以为是改版(其实不是),无F可说…… 英文没有新版,译者没有变,数据没有增加…… (凑字数) 这是一本旧书,原名为《走在曲线之前》200...
评分作者试图在绕过跳大神式的信口开河和一看就晕的计量经济学的情形下,对经济形势进行预测。其方法非常简单:画图,看谁先谁后;编故事,看能说的通不。这是一种标准的验方。验方的特征,就是可能有用,可能没用,也不知道这个“有用”能用到什么时候。 除此之外,着重提到了先...
评分这是一本旧书,原名为《走在曲线之前》2007年中文出版,现在换了个名字没有任何更改(数据还是04年以前的)又印刷一次,没有任何说明,还以为是改版(其实不是),无F可说…… 英文没有新版,译者没有变,数据没有增加…… (凑字数) 这是一本旧书,原名为《走在曲线之前》200...
评分既要考虑长期增长前景,又要兼顾市场周期性波动。
评分既要考虑长期增长前景,又要兼顾市场周期性波动。
评分很不错
评分Worth reading it if you r interested in business world
评分consumer spending index.
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