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Famous First Bubbles

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Peter M. Garber 作者
The MIT Press
译者
2000-6-12 出版日期
175 页数
USD 42.50 价格
Hardcover
丛书系列
9780262072045 图书编码

Famous First Bubbles 在线电子书 图书标签: 经济学  泡沫经济  周其仁  历史6-经济   


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Famous First Bubbles 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

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Famous First Bubbles 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024



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The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful terms for market-asset prices at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Examples include "bubble," "tulipmania," "chain letter," "Ponzi scheme," "panic," "crash," "herding," and "irrational exuberance." Although such a term suggests that an event is inexplicably crowd-driven, what it really means, claims Peter Garber, is that we have grasped a near-empty explanation rather than expend the effort to understand the event.

In this book Garber offers market-fundamental explanations for the three most famous bubbles: the Dutch Tulipmania (1634-1637), the Mississippi Bubble (1719-1720), and the closely connected South Sea Bubble (1720). He focuses most closely on the Tulipmania because it is the event that most modern observers view as clearly crazy. Comparing the pattern of price declines for initially rare eighteenth-century bulbs to that of seventeenth-century bulbs, he concludes that the extremely high prices for rare bulbs and their rapid decline reflects normal pricing behavior. In the cases of the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles, he describes the asset markets and financial manipulations involved in these episodes and casts them as market fundamentals.

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