Unmaking the West

Unmaking the West pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

出版者:University of Michigan Press
作者:Tetlock, Philip E. (EDT)/ Lebow, Richard Ned (EDT)/ Parker, Geoffrey (EDT)
出品人:
页数:432
译者:
出版时间:2006-10-23
价格:USD 38.50
装帧:Paperback
isbn号码:9780472031436
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 国际政治 
  • 社会科学 
  • 电子版 
  • 政治理论 
  • 政治史 
  • 历史 
  • politics 
  • Politics 
  •  
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What if the Persians had won at Salamis? What if Christ had not been crucified? What if the Chinese had harnessed steam power before the West? Disparaged by some as a mere parlor game, counterfactual history is seen by others as an indispensable historical tool. Taking as their point of inquiry the debate over the inevitability of the rise of the West, the eminent scholars in Unmaking the West argue that there is no escaping counterfactual history. Whenever we make claims of cause and effect, we commit ourselves to the assumption that if key links in the causal chain were broken, history would have unfolded otherwise. Likewise, without counterfactual history we all too easily slip into the habit of hindsight bias, forgetting, as soon as we learn what happened, how unpredictable the world looked beforehand, and closing our minds to all the ways the course might have changed. This collection is thus both an exploration of alternative scenarios to world history and an exercise in testing the strengths and weaknesses of counterfactual experiments.

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