Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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Milas, Costas/ Rothman, Philip/ Van Dijk, Dick/ Dijk, Dick Van 作者

Elsevier Science Ltd

译者

2006-3 出版日期

460 页数

$ 160.40 价格

HRD

丛书系列

9780444518385 图书编码

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles 在线电子书图书标签: 商业周期经济学宏观经济学

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Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 在线电子书下载

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles 在线电子书图书描述

The business cycle has long been the focus of empirical economic research. Until recently statistical analysis of macroeconomic fluctuations was dominated by linear time series methods. Over the past 15 years, however, economists have increasingly applied tractable parametric nonlinear time series models to business cycle data; most prominent in this set of models are the classes of Threshold AutoRegressive (TAR) models, Markov-Switching AutoRegressive (MSAR) models, and Smooth Transition AutoRegressive (STAR) models. In doing so, several important questions have been addressed in the literature, including: Do out-of-sample (point, interval, density, and turning point) forecasts obtained with nonlinear time series models dominate those generated with linear models? How should business cycles be dated and measured? What is the response of output and employment to oil-price and monetary shocks? How does monetary policy respond to asymmetries over the business cycle? Are business cycles due more to permanent or to transitory negative shocks? And, is the business cycle asymmetric, and does it matter? "Contributions to Economic Analysis" was established in 1952. The series purpose is to stimulate the international exchange of scientific information. The series includes books from all areas of macroeconomics and microeconomics.

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