An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

出版者:Academic Pr
作者:Yaffee, Robert/ McGee, Monnie
出品人:
页数:528
译者:
出版时间:2000-5
价格:931.00元
装帧:HRD
isbn号码:9780127678702
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Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. To enhance the book's value as a teaching tool, the data sets and programs used in the book are made available on the Academic Press Web site. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques.

Key Features

* Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting

* Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology

* Free Web site contains the data used in most chapters, facilitating learning

* Math level pitched to general social science usage

* Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels

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