Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024


Streetlights and Shadows

简体网页||繁体网页
Gary Klein 作者
The MIT Press
译者
2009-10-30 出版日期
352 页数
USD 27.95 价格
Hardcover
丛书系列
9780262013390 图书编码

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 图书标签: 决策  GaryKlein  设计  行为经济学  Yang  心理  insightful  Finance   


喜欢 Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 的读者还喜欢




点击这里下载
    

想要找书就要到 图书目录大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
你会得到大惊喜!!

发表于2024-12-23


Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024



Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 用户评价

评分

adapting : moving targets , the risks of risk management , the cognitive wavelength , unlearning .

评分

少一分,是因为有点啰嗦

评分

adapting : moving targets , the risks of risk management , the cognitive wavelength , unlearning .

评分

adapting : moving targets , the risks of risk management , the cognitive wavelength , unlearning .

评分

adapting : moving targets , the risks of risk management , the cognitive wavelength , unlearning .

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 著者简介


Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 图书目录


Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 在线电子书下载

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 图书描述

In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines--gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete--but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples--ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O'Brian's Master and Commander novels--to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn't. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything.

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 在线电子书下载

想要找书就要到 图书目录大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
你会得到大惊喜!!

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 读后感

评分

"We agonize the most, spend the most time and effort, making choices that are inside the Zone of Indifference, when we might as well flip a coin. The analytical methods are designed to help us make the toughest choices, but once we realize we are inside the...

评分

"We agonize the most, spend the most time and effort, making choices that are inside the Zone of Indifference, when we might as well flip a coin. The analytical methods are designed to help us make the toughest choices, but once we realize we are inside the...

评分

"We agonize the most, spend the most time and effort, making choices that are inside the Zone of Indifference, when we might as well flip a coin. The analytical methods are designed to help us make the toughest choices, but once we realize we are inside the...

评分

"We agonize the most, spend the most time and effort, making choices that are inside the Zone of Indifference, when we might as well flip a coin. The analytical methods are designed to help us make the toughest choices, but once we realize we are inside the...

评分

"We agonize the most, spend the most time and effort, making choices that are inside the Zone of Indifference, when we might as well flip a coin. The analytical methods are designed to help us make the toughest choices, but once we realize we are inside the...

类似图书 点击查看全场最低价

Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024


分享链接





Streetlights and Shadows 在线电子书 相关图书




本站所有内容均为互联网搜索引擎提供的公开搜索信息,本站不存储任何数据与内容,任何内容与数据均与本站无关,如有需要请联系相关搜索引擎包括但不限于百度google,bing,sogou

友情链接

© 2024 book.wenda123.org All Rights Reserved. 图书目录大全 版权所有