Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024


Apocalypse When?

簡體網頁||繁體網頁
Wells, Willard 作者
譯者
2009-6 出版日期
200 頁數
$ 33.84 價格
叢書系列
9780387098364 圖書編碼

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 圖書標籤:  


喜歡 Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 的讀者還喜歡




點擊這裡下載
    


想要找書就要到 圖書目錄大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

發表於2024-11-29

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 下載 2024

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 epub 下載 pdf 下載 mobi 下載 txt 下載 2024

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024



Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 用戶評價

評分

評分

評分

評分

評分

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 著者簡介


Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 著者簡介


Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 在線電子書下載

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 圖書描述

This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author's predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Wells' carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics. Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace's principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer's random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory. The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and "reference class" to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula.

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 在線電子書下載


想要找書就要到 圖書目錄大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 讀後感

評分

評分

評分

評分

評分

類似圖書 點擊查看全場最低價

Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024


分享鏈接





Apocalypse When? 在線電子書 相關圖書




本站所有內容均為互聯網搜索引擎提供的公開搜索信息,本站不存儲任何數據與內容,任何內容與數據均與本站無關,如有需要請聯繫相關搜索引擎包括但不限於百度google,bing,sogou

友情鏈接

© 2024 book.wenda123.org All Rights Reserved. 圖書目錄大全 版權所有