概率风险分析在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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T.Bedford,R.Cooke著作者

世界图书出版公司

译者

2003-9 出版日期

393 页数

78.00元价格

简裝本

丛书系列

9787506259453 图书编码

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概率风险分析在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

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Probabilistic risk analysis differs from other areas of applied science because it attempts to model events that (almost) never occur. When such an event does occur then the underlying systems and organizations are often changed so that the event cannot occur in the same way again. Because of this, the probabilistic risk analyst must have a strong conceptual and mathematical background. The first chapter surveys the history of risk analysis applications. Chapter 2 explains why probability is used to model uncertainty and why we adopt a subjective definition of probability in spite of its limitations. Chapters 3 and 4 provide the technical background in probability and statistics that is used in the rest of the book. The remaining chapters are more-or-less technically independent of each other, except that Chapter 7 must follow Chapter 6, and 14 should follow 13. The final chapter gives a broad overview of risk measurement problems and looks into the future of risk analysis.

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