Global Catastrophes and Trends 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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Vaclav Smil 作者

The MIT Press

译者

2012-9-14 出版日期

320 页数

USD 22.95 价格

Paperback

丛书系列

9780262518222 图书编码

Global Catastrophes and Trends 在线电子书图书标签: Globalization

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Global Catastrophes and Trends 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

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Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring. Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change--in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change--and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming. Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe.

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