Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent two decades as a trader before becoming a philosophical essayist and academic researcher. Although he now spends most of his time either working in intense seclusion in his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "decision making under opacity", that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
His works are grouped under the general title Incerto (latin for uncertainty), composed of a trilogy accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, and Fooled by Randomness) plus two addenda: a book of philosophical aphorisms (The Bed of Procrustes) and a freely available Technical Companion. Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages.
Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how to benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and his revelatory new book Antifragile offers a definitive solution: how to live in a world that is unpredicatable, chaotic, and full of shocks, and how to thrive during periods of disaster. Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. For what Taleb calls the 'antifragile' is beyond the merely robust; it benefits from shocks, uncertainty and stressors. Antifragile is about what to do when we don't understand. It is a new word because it is a new concept.
Many of the greatest breakthroughs in human endeavour come from the innovation by trial and error that is part of antifragility. And some of the best systems we know of, including natural selection and evolution, have antifragility at their heart. How did the disaster of the sinking of the Titanic bring us closer to safety? Why does the stress on bones make us stronger? Why should you write a resignation letter on your first day in the office? Why should we detest the lack of accountability at the heart of capitalism?
The most successful of us, the most daring and creative will take advantage of disorder and invent new, more powerful opportunities and advantages beyond our expectations.
Irreverent and ambitious, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to live-and thrive-in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to predict. Taleb's message is revolutionary: what is not antifragile will surely perish.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a radical and paradoxical philosopher for our times.He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute.His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in thirty-three languages.Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
写的足够好,好到我老人家继续写一次笔记。 1. 每一次飞机的失事都降低了下一次事故发生的概率,每一家银行的崩溃都提高了下一家银行崩溃的概率。 2. 要让经济具有反脆弱性,并经历所谓的变化。每个独立的企业都有必要是脆弱的。较高层级事物的反脆弱性有赖于较低级事物的脆...
评分写的足够好,好到我老人家继续写一次笔记。 1. 每一次飞机的失事都降低了下一次事故发生的概率,每一家银行的崩溃都提高了下一家银行崩溃的概率。 2. 要让经济具有反脆弱性,并经历所谓的变化。每个独立的企业都有必要是脆弱的。较高层级事物的反脆弱性有赖于较低级事物的脆...
评分文/ 《国家商业》,安然 预测工具,无法捕捉“黑天鹅” 在《黑天鹅》中,塔勒布认为,我们的世界充满最不可能发生但总是发生的事,因此我们必须学习如何由失序及混乱中获取利益,这也是他的新书主旨。 塔勒布目前任教于纽约大学理工学院(Polytechnic Ins...
评分他的黑天鹅大热时,读了,傻了,这书写的是什么水平啊?好了,这一本,还是一如既往的写的很烂,是真的读不下去
评分又犯了西方著作的通病,一本书一个观点
评分又犯了西方著作的通病,一本书一个观点
评分又犯了西方著作的通病,一本书一个观点
评分他的黑天鹅大热时,读了,傻了,这书写的是什么水平啊?好了,这一本,还是一如既往的写的很烂,是真的读不下去
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