Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent two decades as a trader before becoming a philosophical essayist and academic researcher. Although he now spends most of his time either working in intense seclusion in his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "decision making under opacity", that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
His works are grouped under the general title Incerto (latin for uncertainty), composed of a trilogy accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, and Fooled by Randomness) plus two addenda: a book of philosophical aphorisms (The Bed of Procrustes) and a freely available Technical Companion. Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages.
Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how to benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and his revelatory new book Antifragile offers a definitive solution: how to live in a world that is unpredicatable, chaotic, and full of shocks, and how to thrive during periods of disaster. Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. For what Taleb calls the 'antifragile' is beyond the merely robust; it benefits from shocks, uncertainty and stressors. Antifragile is about what to do when we don't understand. It is a new word because it is a new concept.
Many of the greatest breakthroughs in human endeavour come from the innovation by trial and error that is part of antifragility. And some of the best systems we know of, including natural selection and evolution, have antifragility at their heart. How did the disaster of the sinking of the Titanic bring us closer to safety? Why does the stress on bones make us stronger? Why should you write a resignation letter on your first day in the office? Why should we detest the lack of accountability at the heart of capitalism?
The most successful of us, the most daring and creative will take advantage of disorder and invent new, more powerful opportunities and advantages beyond our expectations.
Irreverent and ambitious, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to live-and thrive-in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to predict. Taleb's message is revolutionary: what is not antifragile will surely perish.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a radical and paradoxical philosopher for our times.He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute.His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in thirty-three languages.Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
(注:该文已于3月3日在《经济观察报》上发表) 介绍这本书之前,很有必要介绍一下本书作者:纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布。这位来自于黎巴嫩艾姆云的“漫游者”可谓是一个“天才”:在商业领域,他是安皮里卡资本公司的创办人,被业界誉为深有影响的商业思想家,在学术领域,他是...
評分这是我最近看到的最棒的书,用非常简单明了的理论说明了大规模灾难的根本原因,不是因为我们无法预测灾难的到来,而是因为我们没有建立足以有效应对随机波动的结构——事实上,以人类的认识水平,预测未来本身就是不可能的任务,在这方面的努力,只需漏掉一个线索,就难以阻止...
評分 評分《反脆弱》是一本很容易引起误读的书。《黑天鹅》、《随机致富的傻瓜》更正了大部分人的决定论的或者机械论的旧世界观,但实际上,二战前后,几乎没有一个西方学科不是采取概率论和统计学的世界观了,换言之,西方在二战后,有一个世界观和方法论的革命,只是由于特殊的原因,...
又犯瞭西方著作的通病,一本書一個觀點
评分又犯瞭西方著作的通病,一本書一個觀點
评分又犯瞭西方著作的通病,一本書一個觀點
评分他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
评分又犯瞭西方著作的通病,一本書一個觀點
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