The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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Nate Silver 作者

Allen Lane

译者

2012-9-27 出版日期

544 页数

USD 8.99 价格

Hardcover

丛书系列

9781846147524 图书编码

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书图书标签: 预见力预测金融美国社会经科 Silver Nate

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The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书用户评价

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废话举例了一本书，只有一个point，即，prediction并不可能百分百准确，接受它，并try&error。

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how to drown in three feet of water

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又一本故事书...要是后半本有个配套习题集就好了

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how to drown in three feet of water

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how to drown in three feet of water

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书著者简介

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书图书目录

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 在线电子书下载

The Signal and the Noise 在线电子书图书描述

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times' political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball.

In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success? And why do so many predictions still fail? By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essential lessons of prediction.

We live in an increasingly data-driven world, but it is harder than ever to detect the true patterns amid the noise of information. In this dazzling insider's tour of the world of forecasting, Silver reveals how we can all develop better foresight in our everyday lives.

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