The Signal and the Noise

The Signal and the Noise pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載2025

出版者:Allen Lane
作者:Nate Silver
出品人:
頁數:544
译者:
出版時間:2012-9-27
價格:USD 8.99
裝幀:Hardcover
isbn號碼:9781846147524
叢書系列:
圖書標籤:
  • 預見力 
  • 預測 
  • 金融 
  • 美國 
  • 社會 
  • 經科 
  • Silver 
  • Nate 
  •  
想要找書就要到 圖書目錄大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times' political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball.

In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success? And why do so many predictions still fail? By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essential lessons of prediction.

We live in an increasingly data-driven world, but it is harder than ever to detect the true patterns amid the noise of information. In this dazzling insider's tour of the world of forecasting, Silver reveals how we can all develop better foresight in our everyday lives.

具體描述

讀後感

評分

評分

評分

評分

評分

用戶評價

评分

又一本故事書...要是後半本有個配套習題集就好瞭

评分

廢話舉例瞭一本書,隻有一個point,即,prediction並不可能百分百準確,接受它,並try&error。

评分

又一本故事書...要是後半本有個配套習題集就好瞭

评分

廢話舉例瞭一本書,隻有一個point,即,prediction並不可能百分百準確,接受它,並try&error。

评分

how to drown in three feet of water

本站所有內容均為互聯網搜索引擎提供的公開搜索信息,本站不存儲任何數據與內容,任何內容與數據均與本站無關,如有需要請聯繫相關搜索引擎包括但不限於百度google,bing,sogou

© 2025 qciss.net All Rights Reserved. 小哈圖書下載中心 版权所有