The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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Robert J. Gordon 作者

Princeton University Press

译者

2016-1-12 出版日期

784 页数

USD 39.95 价格

Hardcover

Princeton Economic History of the Western World 丛书系列

9780691147727 图书编码

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书图书标签: 美国经济史经济学历史经济社会-经济史英文原版美国研究

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发表于2024-06-25

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The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书用户评价

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这本书实在太长了，其实作为一篇文章更好。书很沉，每天拿着读完后，压得左手无名指和小指都疼。第一部分还好些，说的时代早些；第二部分读的很乏味。每章前后的概括和总结很啰嗦。主要结论就是某些发明创造比其它发明更重要，而重要的发明只能发明一次。1920-1970年间生产率提高很快，年化2.8%，主要是此前第二次工业革命带来的影响，而1970年后的技术进步主要集中在娱乐、通讯和信息处理，影响较窄，衣食住行、医疗、工作环境等方面的进步有限，从而导致生产率增长放缓。放眼未来，由于不平等、教育、人口结构和债务问题，未来增长会更具挑战。但这本书对过去研究很细并不表明其能预测未来。未来技术突破的程度和快慢，谁有把握能说准呢？比如在医疗方面，人类正处在攻克癌症的前夜，新的技术已不局限于上世纪50年代的了。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

易读。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

优点和缺点都在于细节多，大量描述数据捕捉不到的生活质量提升，详尽但有点像冗长主观的忆苦思甜录。至于对未来的预测，随便一看就好。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

看完之后意识到这本书面向的群体是估计是大众……图表简单，描述详尽，也不需要太多制度背景。对于普通美国家庭从1870年到2014年生活变迁史的描写尤其精彩。不过因为作者是做宏观的，对相当多的微观美国经济史研究也没有考虑，所以一些结论和政策建议我只能打个问号。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

在《理性客观派》之后，这本书让我对未来有一点淡淡的担忧。也许，我们的第一个黄金时代已经过去，而下一个黄金时代还不知道什么时候才会来。

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书著者简介

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书图书目录

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 在线电子书下载

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 在线电子书图书描述

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?

Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.

A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

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