Strategic Reassurance and Resolve 在线电子书 图书标签: 国际关系 美国 政治 中美关系 中国 美国外交政策 政治学 战略互信的重建
发表于2024-12-24
Strategic Reassurance and Resolve 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024
美国外交最慌的就是不明白中国的意图,不排除按照历史认定修昔底德陷阱无法避免的原因。当然中国短时间经济崛起后可能也不太明白自己要干嘛,毕竟一个“韬光养晦”用了这么些年,也没人提出第二个等量的政策。所以Steinberg觉得既然双方都迷糊意图,先让对方知道自己的能力再说。从Steinberg做亚太事务负责人的那几年来看,民主党及日本在亚太基本没有什么挑衅性行为,六方会谈也处于蜜月期。效果上看还是很不错的。
评分美国外交最慌的就是不明白中国的意图,不排除按照历史认定修昔底德陷阱无法避免的原因。当然中国短时间经济崛起后可能也不太明白自己要干嘛,毕竟一个“韬光养晦”用了这么些年,也没人提出第二个等量的政策。所以Steinberg觉得既然双方都迷糊意图,先让对方知道自己的能力再说。从Steinberg做亚太事务负责人的那几年来看,民主党及日本在亚太基本没有什么挑衅性行为,六方会谈也处于蜜月期。效果上看还是很不错的。
评分美国外交最慌的就是不明白中国的意图,不排除按照历史认定修昔底德陷阱无法避免的原因。当然中国短时间经济崛起后可能也不太明白自己要干嘛,毕竟一个“韬光养晦”用了这么些年,也没人提出第二个等量的政策。所以Steinberg觉得既然双方都迷糊意图,先让对方知道自己的能力再说。从Steinberg做亚太事务负责人的那几年来看,民主党及日本在亚太基本没有什么挑衅性行为,六方会谈也处于蜜月期。效果上看还是很不错的。
评分美国外交最慌的就是不明白中国的意图,不排除按照历史认定修昔底德陷阱无法避免的原因。当然中国短时间经济崛起后可能也不太明白自己要干嘛,毕竟一个“韬光养晦”用了这么些年,也没人提出第二个等量的政策。所以Steinberg觉得既然双方都迷糊意图,先让对方知道自己的能力再说。从Steinberg做亚太事务负责人的那几年来看,民主党及日本在亚太基本没有什么挑衅性行为,六方会谈也处于蜜月期。效果上看还是很不错的。
评分作为前助理国务卿,James Steinberg的这本论述中美关系的著作带有很强的官方色彩。我最欣赏的一点是他在书中提到的正视中美的利益冲突,通过restrain,transpanrany和resilience来reassure彼此的弹性空间和底线,以其能够在摩擦出现时能够明晰对方的意图,不致于讲冲突扩大化。此外,通过两国军事科技实力和投放能力的分析比较,作者也提出了两国在合作/竞争模式下应具体遵守的规则的建议(虽然大部分是以美方利益为出发点)。总体而言,是一本不错的书。
James Steinberg is dean of the Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs and professor of social science, international affairs, and law at Syracuse University, and former deputy secretary of state in the Obama administration. His books include An Ever Closer Union. Michael E. O'Hanlon is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who specializes in national security policy. His books include The Science of War (Princeton). Steinberg and O'Hanlon are the authors of Protecting the American Homeland.
After forty years of largely cooperative Sino-U.S. relations, policymakers, politicians, and pundits on both sides of the Pacific see growing tensions between the United States and China. Some go so far as to predict a future of conflict, driven by the inevitable rivalry between an established and a rising power, and urge their leaders to prepare now for a future showdown. Others argue that the deep economic interdependence between the two countries and the many areas of shared interests will lead to more collaborative relations in the coming decades.
In this book, James Steinberg and Michael O'Hanlon stake out a third, less deterministic position. They argue that there are powerful domestic and international factors, especially in the military and security realms, that could well push the bilateral relationship toward an arms race and confrontation, even though both sides will be far worse off if such a future comes to pass. They contend that this pessimistic scenario can be confidently avoided only if China and the United States adopt deliberate policies designed to address the security dilemma that besets the relationship between a rising and an established power. The authors propose a set of policy proposals to achieve a sustainable, relatively cooperative relationship between the two nations, based on the concept of providing mutual strategic reassurance in such key areas as nuclear weapons and missile defense, space and cyber operations, and military basing and deployments, while also demonstrating strategic resolve to protect vital national interests, including, in the case of the United States, its commitments to regional allies.
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Strategic Reassurance and Resolve 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024