Bursts 在线电子书 图书标签: 复杂网络 人类行为 预测 网络 阿尔伯特─拉斯罗•巴拉巴斯 network 复杂性科学 datamining
发表于2025-03-26
Bursts 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025
无论如何都要读一遍
评分so so.
评分说真的,这个平行故事叙事法真的比较不适用于科普读物。人类行为不可测,太随机,这是我所支持的论点。
评分哈桑演讲挺有意思~~但是这本书写的一般,不如linked
评分so so.
艾伯特-拉斯洛•巴拉巴西(Albert-Laszlo Barabasi)
全球复杂网络研究权威,无尺度网络的创立者。美国物理学会院士,匈牙利科学院院士,欧洲科学院会员,美国东北大学教授,网络科学研究中心的创始人、主任,同时任职于哈佛大学媒体学院医学系,并担任丹那-法 伯癌症研究所癌症系统生物学中心的研究员。
Barabasi提出无尺度网络模型,2006年因此荣获了匈牙利计算机学会颁发的冯•诺依曼金质奖章,是建立基于网络共性的统一科学理论的先行者,是复杂网络界引述最多的科学家。
世界著名科技杂志《popular science》杂志称赞 Barabasi“他可以控制世界”。
Can we scientifically predict our future? Scientists and pseudoscientists have been pursuing this mystery for hundreds and perhaps thousands of years. But now, amazing new research is revealing that patterns in human behavior, previously thought to be purely random, follow predictable laws.
Albert-László Barabási, already the world's preeminent researcher on the science of networks, describes his work on this profound mystery in Bursts , a stunningly original investigation into human behavior. His approach relies on the way our lives have become digital. Mobile phones, the Internet, and e-mail have made human activities more accessible to quantitative analysis, turning our society into a huge research laboratory. All those electronic trails of time- stamped texts, voice mails, and searches add up to a previously unavailable massive data set that tracks our movements, our decisions, our lives. Analysis of these trails is offering deep insights into the rhythm of how we do everything. His finding? We work and fight and play in short flourishes of activity followed by next to nothing. Our daily pattern isn't random, it's "bursty." Bursts uncovers an astonishing deep order in our actions that makes us far more predictable than we like to think.
Illustrating this revolutionary science, Barabási artfully weaves together the story of a sixteenth-century burst of human activity-a bloody medieval crusade launched in his homeland, Transylvania-with the modern tale of a contemporary artist hunted by the FBI through our post-9/11 surveillance society. These narratives illustrate how predicting human behavior has long been the obsession, sometimes the duty, of those in power. Barabási's wide range of examples from seemingly unrelated areas includes how dollar bills move around the United States, the pattern everyone follows in writing e-mail, the spread of epidemics, and even the flight patterns of albatross. In all these phenomena a virtually identical bursty pattern emerges, a reflection of the universality of human behavior.
Bursts reveals where individual spontaneity ends and predictability in human behavior begins. The way you think about your own potential to do something truly extraordinary will never be the same.
最近看的书里面最烂的一本,如果不是恰好在图书馆看到的话根本不会浪费时间在这上面。作者说的根本不是什么奇特现象,从最宏观的角度来看,生活中的大部分系统本来就都是可预测的,就好比大部分人会晚上睡觉,早上起床,这种是没有什么意义的,作者显然故意模糊群体行为与个体...
评分 评分这本书虽然比较新颖,但观点实质内容很少,废话很多,整本书都是在说泊松分布对于人类行为的预测不靠谱,幂律又如何如何靠谱,而且整本书都是在不停地卖关子卖关子卖关子……最多用来平时看看消磨时间,别抱太大期望。
评分个人喜好使然,不待见这种太过科普的写法。之前看作者另一本《链接》的时候还觉得值得做笔记以理解其逻辑主线,但在这本书里作者完全改变了写作风格,不知是写作此书的目的本身就是作为畅销书呢,还是作者跟编辑妥协了,抑或其他。无论什么原因,作者都用层层故事和大量跟主题...
评分8月25号湛庐文化在3W咖啡举办了#大数据时代预见未来的新思维#《爆发》读书会,现场活动很成功。我问了一个问题。发现经观已经将录音整理了出来,我又把提问理了一遍。 《爆发》提到人的行为93%都是可以预测的。不过推动个人转向及历史急转的往往就是那不可预测的7%。 提问:基...
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