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Predictocracy 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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Michael Abramowicz 作者

Yale University Press

译者

2008-1-29 出版日期

368 页数

USD 65.00 价格

Hardcover

丛书系列

9780300115994 图书编码

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发表于2024-11-13

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Predictocracy 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

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Predicting the future is serious business for virtually all public and private institutions, for they must often make important decisions based upon such predictions. This visionary book explores how institutions from legislatures to corporations might improve their predictions and arrive at better decisions by means of prediction markets, a promising new tool with virtually unlimited potential applications. Michael Abramowicz explains how prediction markets work; why they accurately forecast elections, sports contests, and other events; and how they may even advance the ideals of our system of republican government. He also explores the ways in which prediction markets address common problems related to institutional decision making. Throughout the book, the author extends current thinking about prediction markets and offers imaginative proposals for their use in an array of settings and situations.

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