Probability, Econometrics and Truth 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025

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Keuzenkamp, Hugo A. 作者

译者

2000-11 出版日期

322 页数

$ 160.46 价格

丛书系列

9780521553599 图书编码

Probability, Econometrics and Truth 在线电子书图书标签: 计量经济学計量經濟學蓋然性荷蘭结论經濟學真相歐洲

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发表于2025-02-06

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Probability, Econometrics and Truth 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2025

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When John Maynard Keynes likened Jan Tinbergen's early work in econometrics to black magic and alchemy, he was expressing a widely held view of a new discipline. However, even after half a century of practical work and theorizing by some of the most accomplished social scientists, Keynes' comments are still repeated today. This book assesses the foundations and development of econometrics and sets out a basis for the reconstruction of the foundations of econometric inference by examining the various interpretations of probability theory which underlie econometrics. Keuzenkamp claims that the probabilistic foundations of econometrics are weak, and although econometric inferences may yield interesting knowledge, claims to be able to falsify or verify economic theories are unwarranted. Methodological falsificationism in econometrics is an illusion. Instead, it is argued, econometrics should locate itself in the tradition of positivism.

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