Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period in the global economy; it also captured the essence of Rubin himself--short on formality, quick to get into the nitty-gritty.
From his early years in the storied arbitrage department at Goldman Sachs to his current position as chairman of the executive committee of Citigroup, Robert Rubin has been a major figure at the center of the American financial system. He was a key player in the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. With In an Uncertain World , Rubin offers a shrewd, keen analysis of some of the most important events in recent American history and presents a clear, consistent approach to thinking about markets and dealing with the new risks of the global economy.
Rubin's fundamental philosophy is that nothing is provably certain. Probabilistic thinking has guided his career in both business and government. We see that discipline at work in meetings with President Clinton and Hillary Clinton, Chinese premier Zhu Rongji, Alan Greenspan, Lawrence Summers, Newt Gingrich, Sanford Weill, and the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan. We see Rubin apply it time and again while facing financial crises in Asia, Russia, and Brazil; the federal government shutdown; the rise and fall of the stock market; the challenges of the post-September 11 world; the ongoing struggle over fiscal policy; and many other momentous economic and political events.
With a compelling and candid voice and a sharp eye for detail, Rubin portrays the daily life of the White House-confronting matters both mighty and mundane--as astutely as he examines the challenges that lie ahead for the nation. Part political memoir, part prescriptive economic analysis, and part personal look at business problems, In an Uncertain World is a deep examination of Washington and Wall Street by a figure who for three decades has been at the center of both worlds.
From the Hardcover edition.
罗伯特·鲁宾(Robert Rubin):花旗银行执行董事会主席,美国克林顿时期财政部长(1995—1999),高盛公司董事会主席(1990—1992)。作者呈现给读者的是一本“借自传形式介绍政策的书籍”。书中以很短的篇幅回忆了童年时代和求学历程,随后描述他人生经历中的华彩篇章(高盛—白宫—花旗),阐述了他所笃信的“或然性理论”,也从一个侧面讲述了美国前总统克林顿的工作和生活。
作者本身是套利交易员出生,在高盛公司工作了30年,然后在华盛顿工作了6年半,其中担任了几年的美国财政部长。他在华盛顿期间,发生了好几起国际性的金融危机,在他卸任后,美国也发生了911和土耳其金融危机。因此这本书主要就是围绕着作者如何去处理和看待这些危机来写的,从...
评分标签:自传,金融史 我很喜欢这种综合风格的书籍,它涵盖了自传,历史,政治,金融,管理,等领域 本书对下列几方面的描写很精彩: 美国政府如何应对和处理墨西哥金融危机;亚洲金融危机; 美国政府运作;决策; 政府机构和商业组织的区别,以及管理上的不同; 谈判技巧; 国际货...
评分很多时候,朋友们说某个“理论”和某个“看法”是经过事实检验的,是某成功人事通过其经历证明是正确的,你应该信服。 但是,我不能信服,特别是,我不能以成败论英雄。 以成败论英雄是逃避对核心问题进一步分析的责任,而只看之前的结果,这和赌博是一样的原理,虽然很多人...
评分墨西哥市场上这些消极影响不断自我强化。由于投资者担心汇率可能下跌,他们纷纷兑换美元,造成了政府外汇储备进一步减少。这进一步又加大了比索币值下跌的可能,并加剧了人们对政府无法还款的担心。政府作出的为保护投资者以美元计算的资产不受损失,而用比索偿还政府短期债券...
评分读完这本书再看中美战略对话,会觉得能够非常清楚的理解政治的背后所深藏的忍俊不禁。 也只有诸如Robin才能把这写的如此生动。很幸运,美国有这样聪明的Robin, 很不幸,美国这样的Robin不多。不过,中国没准就能占个便宜:)
Key words: no proved certainty, probabilisitic thinking, confidence and credibility in handling a crisis. Greed, fear, complancency.
评分读过中文版。 书中讲到他个人的成长历程,值得借鉴,但更主要的更值得学习的是他如何做决策的观点,特别是在没有(也无法掌握)完全信息的情况下,如何处理危机。他在财长任中正赶上亚洲金融危机,得以大显身手。本书不仅对目前全球金融危机是及时的参照,也是一个人成长过程中的上好的养料。
评分最喜欢Rubin笔下学生时代书生意气的那段时光,赞同他的存在哲学和对不确定世界的看法
评分Think in long term!
评分Key words: no proved certainty, probabilisitic thinking, confidence and credibility in handling a crisis. Greed, fear, complancency.
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