Against the Gods

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PETER L. BERNSTEIN is President of Peter L. Bernstein, Inc., economic consultants to institutional advisors and corporations. His semimonthly analysis of the capital markets and the real economy, Economics and Portfolio Strategy, is read by managers and owners of investments totaling over one trillion dollars. Mr. Bernstein is the author of many articles in the professional and popular press, as well as six books in economics and finance, including the bestselling Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street. He is the coeditor of Investment Management (Wiley), and was the first editor of The Journal of Portfolio Management.

出版者:John Wiley & Sons
作者:Peter L. Bernstein
出品人:
页数:400
译者:
出版时间:1998-9-29
价格:GBP 17.99
装帧:Paperback
isbn号码:9780471295631
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 金融 
  • 投资 
  • 风险 
  • 经济学 
  • finance 
  • investment 
  • risk 
  • statistics 
  •  
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Book Description

Human existence is based upon risk. This text charts the adventures of a group of thinkers who embarked on a voyage of intellectual discovery, transforming primeval superstition into the powerful tools of risk control employed today.

Amazon.com

With the stock market breaking records almost daily, leaving longtime market analysts shaking their heads and revising their forecasts, a study of the concept of risk seems quite timely. Peter Bernstein has written a comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, beginning with early gamblers in ancient Greece, continuing through the 17th-century French mathematicians Pascal and Fermat and up to modern chaos theory. Along the way he demonstrates that understanding risk underlies everything from game theory to bridge-building to winemaking.

From Publishers Weekly

Risk management, which assumes that future risks can be understood, measured and to some extent predicted, is the focus of this solid, thoroughgoing history. Probability theory, pioneered by 17th-century French mathematicians Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat, has made possible the design of great bridges, electric power utilities and insurance policies. The statistical sampling methods invented by dour Swiss scientist Jacob Bernoulli undergird diverse activities such as the testing of new drugs, stock-picking and wine tasting. Bernstein (Capital Ideas) animates his narrative with a colorful cast of risk-analyzers, including gambling addict Girolamo Cardano, 16th-century Italian physician to the Pope; and John Maynard Keynes, whose concerns over economic uncertainty compelled him to recommend an active, interventionist role for government. Bernstein also traces the development of business forecasting, game theory, insurance and derivatives, and surveys recent advances in risk forecasting made possible through chaos theory and by the development of neural networks.

From Library Journal

For several centuries, mathematics has been the language of the exact sciences. Only in the 20th century has mathematics become predominant in other fields, particularly economics and finance. In this book, Bernstein (Capital Ideas: The Improbable Origins of Modern Wall Street, LJ 12/91), head of an economic consulting firm, traces the development of probability theory from its beginnings in analyzing games of chance, through its application to statistical theory and insurance, up to its present use in developing investment strategies to control risk. He includes excellent sections on portfolio analysis and on investments in derivatives. Bernstein clearly describes the people, their work, and the events that have revolutionized the thinking on Wall Street. A worthwhile acquisition for business and math collections.

                            Harold D. Shane, Baruch Coll., CUNY

From Booklist

Bernstein's lively history chronicles a profound transformation in attitudes about the future. How one's fate changed from depending less on capricious outcomes and more on predictable ones forms the backbone of the narrative. His central characters are mathematicians who began pondering the statistics of gambling, or gamblers pondering the risks of gambling: about one sixteenth-century polymath, Girolamo Cardano, Bernstein writes that his "credentials as a gambling addict alone would justify his appearance in the history of risk," and that comment is typical of Bernstein's engaging presentation. Amid his recounting of the insights into probability from Pascal to Keynes, he touches on an array of modern fields in which risk analysis is crucial--insurance, commodities futures, stock markets, and that old standard, gambling. This cornucopia of biographical sketches, mathematical examples, and reflections on the nature of human expectations about the future faces little risk of idling in libraries; patrons of the business section might be keenest to read it.

                          Gilbert Taylor

From AudioFile

Jesse Boggs honed his expressive, laid-back vocal style narrating his own award-winning documentaries. Here, as reader and abridger, he goes a long way to clarify Bernstein's convoluted theory of risk management. His careful phrasing also brings into high relief the sweeping generalizations and questionable axioms that give pause to the analytic listener. Only in this careful frame of mind can one separate wheat from chaff and learn whatever this book has to teach. Y.R.

The Washington Post Book World, September 20, 1998

AGAINST THE GODS appeared in the "Washington Is Also Reading..." section of The Washington Post Book World. The book is described as, "A comprehensive history of man's efforts to understand risk and probability, from ancient gamblers in Greece to modern chaos theory."

Book Dimension

length: (cm)22.7                 width:(cm)15.2

具体描述

读后感

评分

三位翻译者的翻译水平实在是不敢恭维。一开始一直怀疑自己的理解能力有问题。最后去某宝买了pdf看。发现三位翻译者的水平实在太差。举个例子:译者把utility这个词翻译为功利,可见翻译者的水平。这个词语中文已经有了大家都认可的的表达——“效用”。具体见:第四章倒数第四...  

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内容:★★★★☆ 翻译:★★★☆☆ 排印:★★☆☆☆ 装帧:★★★☆☆ 这本书讲述了人类探索风险的历史进程。在风险探索的早期,人们仅仅将注意力放在客观存在的风险上,用数学的方法进行计算。随着历史的发展,人们开始意识到,即使了解了客观存在的风险,也不能解决人们面...  

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花了几个月的时间,断断续续读这本英文畅销书,脑子里首先填了一堆关于赌博工具的英文单词。这是一部以概率理论发展史为主线的畅销书(在国内的话,畅销谈不上,此书的读者群较窄,针对金融理论爱好者),本书像一部记录片的脚本。题目Against the God书中主题与金融关系没那么...  

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内容:★★★★☆ 翻译:★★★☆☆ 排印:★★☆☆☆ 装帧:★★★☆☆ 这本书讲述了人类探索风险的历史进程。在风险探索的早期,人们仅仅将注意力放在客观存在的风险上,用数学的方法进行计算。随着历史的发展,人们开始意识到,即使了解了客观存在的风险,也不能解决人们面...  

评分

三位翻译者的翻译水平实在是不敢恭维。一开始一直怀疑自己的理解能力有问题。最后去某宝买了pdf看。发现三位翻译者的水平实在太差。举个例子:译者把utility这个词翻译为功利,可见翻译者的水平。这个词语中文已经有了大家都认可的的表达——“效用”。具体见:第四章倒数第四...  

用户评价

评分

有点枯燥,后面的跳过去不少

评分

嘘,是不是想让我来代你们说阿,你想释放地下的人,你想热爱敌者的女儿,你想建立排山倒海的政权,当然你想强势的席卷道德者的所有身体,你做哲学,是因为高尚,还是因为野蛮

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看看

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看了四章,觉得不喜欢,非常不喜欢。最后结论要看完再下。 看完了,完全不明白为何这本书的评价如此之高,这本书最吸引我的就是封面的这幅画了,除此之外,没有啥意思。 看完The Black Swan, 更觉得Against the Gods 是一本大烂书。完全不能理解为什么这本书的评分还要更高些。

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这个作者有很多书,每一个的主题都让我觉得很有深度,也很想一读,可是每次都读得百转千回,痛苦无比,这文笔实在是欣赏不来

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