Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025


Fooled by Randomness

简体网页||繁体网页
Nassim Nicholas Taleb 作者
Penguin
译者
2007-3-29 出版日期
316 页数
GBP 6.99 价格
Paperback
丛书系列
9780141032740 图书编码

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 图书标签: 金融  思维  经济  投资  randomness  思维工具  finance  economics   


喜欢 Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 的读者还喜欢




下载链接1
下载链接2
下载链接3
    

想要找书就要到 图书目录大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
你会得到大惊喜!!

发表于2025-04-24


Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2025

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2025

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025



Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 用户评价

评分

书写得很不错

评分

书写得很不错

评分

碎片时间读本,断断续续看了好久啊,感觉非常小聪明,到处都是小聪明,但到处又教人别把自己的聪明当回事。不知道为什么每次看都觉得作者很矛盾。可能是我太不商科太不律所了,又一本朋友的全五星推荐被我糟蹋了。

评分

看过几本Taleb的书之后这本就显得没太多新意了。当鸡汤读读还是不错的。

评分

过得比较快,看的不是很明白

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 著者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical and philosophical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on how different systems handle disorder.

He now spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. In addition to his life as a trader he spend several years as an academic researcher ( Distinguished Professor at New York University's School of Engineering, Dean's Professor at U. Mass Amherst).

He is the author of the Incerto (latin for uncertainty), accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, and Fooled by Randomness) plus a freely available technical version, Silent Risk. Taleb has also published close to 55 academic and scholarly papers as a backup, technical footnotes to the Incerto in topics ranging from Statistical Physics to International affairs. The Incerto has more than 150 translations in 39 languages.

Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

""Imagine someone with the erudition of Pico de la Mirandola, the skepticism of Montaigne, solid mathematical training, a restless globetrotter, polyglot, enjoyer of fine wines, specialist of financial derivatives, irrepressible reader, and irascible to the point of readily slapping a disciple." La Tribune (Paris)

A giant of Mediterranean thought ... Now the hottest thinker in the world", London Times

"The most prophetic voice of all" GQ


Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 图书目录


Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 在线电子书下载

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 图书描述

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time

A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 在线电子书下载

想要找书就要到 图书目录大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
你会得到大惊喜!!

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 读后感

评分

西方哲学史上被公认为第一位哲学家的希腊人泰勒斯,原本是一个商人,但是他却不好好挣钱,总是研究些没有用的事情。有一天,泰勒斯走在旷野间,抬头看着星空,结果不防脚下一个坑,掉进坑里摔个半死。于是希腊人笑话说,哲学家都是些没用的人。   泰勒斯很给哲...  

评分

这本书分成三部分: 第一部分是讲偏态,偶然事件。还谈了很多与概率相关的问题。 第二部分是讲存活着偏差,由于我们只看到了成功者,而因此形成了对机遇的歪曲看法。 第三部分是讲路径依赖的,人们过去做出的选择决定了他们现在及未来可能的选择。 三部分内容的划分是明确的,...  

评分

给四星是因为作者所推崇的“科学的可证伪性”,那一星的空白权当是尊重作者本意使之“科学化”了。还是Robert Shiller的金融市场课的参考书目。课听到一半倒是把书搜出来一口气一个通宵给看完了。颠覆啊!作者不相信投资组合那套,评价巴菲特的简朴作风“毫无必要”。这里探讨...  

评分

这本书可以带来清醒。 纵观全书,我觉得主要讲的就是人往往被随机性所愚弄,根据以往或现在发生的事实归纳推断出结论,并以为这是很正确的,其实却忽略了那概率中未发生的事实,而随着时间的推移,那些事实很可能就发生了。对于交易员来说,就是相信自己归纳总结出来的方法已经...  

评分

给四星是因为作者所推崇的“科学的可证伪性”,那一星的空白权当是尊重作者本意使之“科学化”了。还是Robert Shiller的金融市场课的参考书目。课听到一半倒是把书搜出来一口气一个通宵给看完了。颠覆啊!作者不相信投资组合那套,评价巴菲特的简朴作风“毫无必要”。这里探讨...  

类似图书 点击查看全场最低价

Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025


分享链接





Fooled by Randomness 在线电子书 相关图书




本站所有内容均为互联网搜索引擎提供的公开搜索信息,本站不存储任何数据与内容,任何内容与数据均与本站无关,如有需要请联系相关搜索引擎包括但不限于百度google,bing,sogou

友情链接

© 2025 book.wenda123.org All Rights Reserved. 图书目录大全 版权所有