Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025


Fooled by Randomness

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 作者
Penguin
譯者
2007-3-29 出版日期
316 頁數
GBP 6.99 價格
Paperback
叢書系列
9780141032740 圖書編碼

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 金融  思維  經濟  投資  randomness  思維工具  finance  economics   


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發表於2025-02-02

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 下載 2025

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 epub 下載 pdf 下載 mobi 下載 txt 下載 2025

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025



Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 用戶評價

評分

Thought-provoking ideas on probability and human dealings with randomness. In the end the key message could be: (a) Do not harbour any supersititious confidence/pure supersition about the capability of yourself or that of any extremely successful people, and (b) hope for the best, work to the hardest and prepare for the worst.

評分

碎片時間讀本,斷斷續續看瞭好久啊,感覺非常小聰明,到處都是小聰明,但到處又教人彆把自己的聰明當迴事。不知道為什麼每次看都覺得作者很矛盾。可能是我太不商科太不律所瞭,又一本朋友的全五星推薦被我糟蹋瞭。

評分

Taleb善於思考,不善於寫作。他的愛好還包括deadlift。

評分

看過幾本Taleb的書之後這本就顯得沒太多新意瞭。當雞湯讀讀還是不錯的。

評分

三星半,更適閤做金融行業的人。這是作者第一本,那時還未齣名,感覺這書就是寫來撒氣的。前言寫的很真摯好看,正文各種吐槽諷刺同行,常常看得我哭笑不得,仇真的很深。???? 正文節奏不好,而且個彆案例矯枉過正。

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 著者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical and philosophical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on how different systems handle disorder.

He now spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. In addition to his life as a trader he spend several years as an academic researcher ( Distinguished Professor at New York University's School of Engineering, Dean's Professor at U. Mass Amherst).

He is the author of the Incerto (latin for uncertainty), accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, and Fooled by Randomness) plus a freely available technical version, Silent Risk. Taleb has also published close to 55 academic and scholarly papers as a backup, technical footnotes to the Incerto in topics ranging from Statistical Physics to International affairs. The Incerto has more than 150 translations in 39 languages.

Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

""Imagine someone with the erudition of Pico de la Mirandola, the skepticism of Montaigne, solid mathematical training, a restless globetrotter, polyglot, enjoyer of fine wines, specialist of financial derivatives, irrepressible reader, and irascible to the point of readily slapping a disciple." La Tribune (Paris)

A giant of Mediterranean thought ... Now the hottest thinker in the world", London Times

"The most prophetic voice of all" GQ


Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 著者簡介


Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 在線電子書下載

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 圖書描述

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time

A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

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Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 讀後感

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評分

如果一位投资者告诉你他认为开盘后美国股市上涨的可能性非常大,但是与此同时他却又在大手做空美股指数,你会作何感想?恐怕不是当他骗子,就是当他疯子。   不过你看完这本《随机致富的傻瓜》,就会重新认识此问题了,因为曾经出现过上述行为的,恰是此书的作者纳西姆·...

評分

評分

某同学向我推荐这本书的时候说,这是一本数学书,其中的内容有些晦涩难懂,需要花点功夫理解,但是最后还不失为一本对投资生涯有意义的书。于是我怀着敬畏之心开始了阅读,可是我很快发现,与其说这是一本数学书,倒不如说这是本哲学书,而且是一本非常聪明的哲学书。 这位狂...  

評分

关于数字与概率 我们迟早会了解概率终究是个用来看问题的定性手法,它是怀疑之子。数学主要是用来作为冥思的工具,而不是当作计算工具使用。真正的随机现象看起来并不随机。 讨论概率问题时我不建议会计师参加。对会计师来说,数字就是数字。如果他对概率有兴趣,早就投入...  

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