Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024


Fooled by Randomness

簡體網頁||繁體網頁
Nassim Nicholas Taleb 作者
Penguin
譯者
2007-3-29 出版日期
316 頁數
GBP 6.99 價格
Paperback
叢書系列
9780141032740 圖書編碼

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 金融  思維  經濟  投資  randomness  思維工具  finance  economics   


喜歡 Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 的讀者還喜歡




點擊這裡下載
    


想要找書就要到 圖書目錄大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

發表於2024-09-27

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 下載 2024

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 epub 下載 pdf 下載 mobi 下載 txt 下載 2024

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024



Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 用戶評價

評分

A book for logic, 醍醐灌頂.

評分

整本書就是絮絮叨叨地在講什麼是期望。。。

評分

Thought-provoking ideas on probability and human dealings with randomness. In the end the key message could be: (a) Do not harbour any supersititious confidence/pure supersition about the capability of yourself or that of any extremely successful people, and (b) hope for the best, work to the hardest and prepare for the worst.

評分

書寫得很不錯

評分

整本書就是絮絮叨叨地在講什麼是期望。。。

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 著者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical and philosophical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on how different systems handle disorder.

He now spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. In addition to his life as a trader he spend several years as an academic researcher ( Distinguished Professor at New York University's School of Engineering, Dean's Professor at U. Mass Amherst).

He is the author of the Incerto (latin for uncertainty), accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, and Fooled by Randomness) plus a freely available technical version, Silent Risk. Taleb has also published close to 55 academic and scholarly papers as a backup, technical footnotes to the Incerto in topics ranging from Statistical Physics to International affairs. The Incerto has more than 150 translations in 39 languages.

Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

""Imagine someone with the erudition of Pico de la Mirandola, the skepticism of Montaigne, solid mathematical training, a restless globetrotter, polyglot, enjoyer of fine wines, specialist of financial derivatives, irrepressible reader, and irascible to the point of readily slapping a disciple." La Tribune (Paris)

A giant of Mediterranean thought ... Now the hottest thinker in the world", London Times

"The most prophetic voice of all" GQ


Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 著者簡介


Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 在線電子書下載

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 圖書描述

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time

A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 在線電子書下載


想要找書就要到 圖書目錄大全
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 讀後感

評分

評分

给四星是因为作者所推崇的“科学的可证伪性”,那一星的空白权当是尊重作者本意使之“科学化”了。还是Robert Shiller的金融市场课的参考书目。课听到一半倒是把书搜出来一口气一个通宵给看完了。颠覆啊!作者不相信投资组合那套,评价巴菲特的简朴作风“毫无必要”。这里探讨...  

評分

英国历史学家尼耶尔•弗格森(Niall Ferguson)在《未曾发生的历史》(Visual History)一书中让偶然性在历史进程中翩翩起舞,他设想了一系列人类在某些重大时刻可能进入的历史分叉小径,比如没有克伦威尔的英国,独立战争遭遇失败的美国和爱尔兰,二战中向希特勒投降的英国...  

評分

評分

这本书用简单的统计学概念有趣地解释了许多常见的投资现象,其中最为核心的,是收益的不对称与决策的非理性对长期投资的种种影响。在某种意义上,这些讨论不仅对投资客有价值,也具有极强的哲学含义,可以在生活中的方方面面得到印证。 书中的一个核心问题是普遍存在的收益不...  

類似圖書 點擊查看全場最低價

Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024


分享鏈接





Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 相關圖書




本站所有內容均為互聯網搜索引擎提供的公開搜索信息,本站不存儲任何數據與內容,任何內容與數據均與本站無關,如有需要請聯繫相關搜索引擎包括但不限於百度google,bing,sogou

友情鏈接

© 2024 book.wenda123.org All Rights Reserved. 圖書目錄大全 版權所有