Super Crunchers 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 統計 數據分析 Economics 決策 係統思考 社會學 經濟學 數學
發表於2024-12-23
Super Crunchers 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024
覺得還挺有意思的
評分Data-driven decision making
評分這本書所描述的方法,極其重要,甚至可以說代錶瞭社會科學的未來。
評分覺得還挺有意思的
評分“The human mind tends to suffer from a number of well-documented cognitive failings and biases the distort our ability to predict accurately.” //"It's best to have the man and machine in dialogue with each other, but, when the two disagree, it's usually better to give the ultimate decision to the statistical prediction."
伊恩•艾瑞斯(Ian Ayres) 計量經濟學傢、律師,耶魯大學法學院和管理學院教授,stickK.com網站的創始人,《法律、經濟學和組織機構期刊》(Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization)編輯,曾著有11本書,發錶過100篇文章。他是《福布斯》雜誌的專欄作傢,著名公共廣播節目《Marketplace》的時事評論員,是《紐約時報》“魔鬼經濟學”博客的專欄作傢之一。
其著作《Insincere Promises: The Law of Misrepresented Intent》獲得瞭由美國藝術與科學學院頒發的Scribes圖書奬。他成就卓著、名聲斐然,曾受到《黃金時間實況》、《奧普拉脫口秀》、《早安美國》節目以及《時代周刊》《Vogue》等雜誌的采訪,可以說伊恩•艾瑞斯是那一代人裏成就最多、文章觀點被引用最多、名氣最大的法學教授。
Why would a casino try and stop you from losing? How can a mathematical formula find your future spouse? Would you know if a statistical analysis blackballed you from a job you wanted?
Today, number crunching affects your life in ways you might never imagine. In this lively and groundbreaking new book, economist Ian Ayres shows how today's best and brightest organizations are analyzing massive databases at lightening speed to provide greater insights into human behavior. They are the Super Crunchers. From internet sites like Google and Amazon that know your tastes better than you do, to a physician's diagnosis and your child's education, to boardrooms and government agencies, this new breed of decision makers are calling the shots. And they are delivering staggeringly accurate results. How can a football coach evaluate a player without ever seeing him play? Want to know whether the price of an airline ticket will go up or down before you buy? How can a formula outpredict wine experts in determining the best vintages? Super crunchers have the answers. In this brave new world of equation versus expertise, Ayres shows us the benefits and risks, who loses and who wins, and how super crunching can be used to help, not manipulate us.
Gone are the days of solely relying on intuition to make decisions. No businessperson, consumer, or student who wants to stay ahead of the curve should make another keystroke without reading Super Crunchers.
这本书的主标题是"Super (Number) Crunchers", 副标题是"Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart". 前者和我的专业相关,后者则是在赞美我的专业,所以我本着自我肯定和自我欣赏的目的读了这本书 : P 写到这里,有必要澄清,读这本书绝对无需数学分析或高等数学...
評分《大数据思维与决策》 用了一周时间把这本书通读了一遍,总结一下读书的感受吧。 初看这本书的时候是在一年前,兴趣不大,原因在于翻译的文笔太过生涩,我不喜欢,另外,故事性的讲述让这类题材的书多少增加了些趣味性,但所选故事专业领域性很强,有些不熟悉的领域读起来较为...
評分这是BI系列的书,BI(bussiness intelege)是综合了统计学,现代信息技术,人工智能的多个学科的决策方法。令我惊奇的是作者是计量经济学,律师,管理学教授。读他这本书有些法律方面的探讨有点难理解,也觉得美国对于法律方面的“纠结”真多。 书中事例很多也随之介绍了基...
評分作者的宗旨是数据分析永远不可能完全取代传统的专家、机构、学者们做决策的职能,但是可以与这些直觉、经验、观察结合起来,作为辅证支持。 举几个有争议的例子 比如第八章: Direct Instruction 一开始就是形象的描述了什么是指导教学法。 指导教学法是完全按照指令来, 但是...
評分作者推荐阅读: Ray C. Fair, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things (2002). Steven Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything (2005). John Allen Paulos, Innumeracy: Mathem...
Super Crunchers 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024