Super Crunchers 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 統計 數據分析 Economics 決策 係統思考 社會學 經濟學 數學
發表於2025-02-02
Super Crunchers 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025
這本書所描述的方法,極其重要,甚至可以說代錶瞭社會科學的未來。
評分“The human mind tends to suffer from a number of well-documented cognitive failings and biases the distort our ability to predict accurately.” //"It's best to have the man and machine in dialogue with each other, but, when the two disagree, it's usually better to give the ultimate decision to the statistical prediction."
評分迴歸分析、隨機實驗,沒瞭。這本書更像是統計數據分析的科普小冊子,僅供文科pm同學看看。
評分看看
評分doc88 上 ¥5.8 下載 太便宜瞭
伊恩•艾瑞斯(Ian Ayres) 計量經濟學傢、律師,耶魯大學法學院和管理學院教授,stickK.com網站的創始人,《法律、經濟學和組織機構期刊》(Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization)編輯,曾著有11本書,發錶過100篇文章。他是《福布斯》雜誌的專欄作傢,著名公共廣播節目《Marketplace》的時事評論員,是《紐約時報》“魔鬼經濟學”博客的專欄作傢之一。
其著作《Insincere Promises: The Law of Misrepresented Intent》獲得瞭由美國藝術與科學學院頒發的Scribes圖書奬。他成就卓著、名聲斐然,曾受到《黃金時間實況》、《奧普拉脫口秀》、《早安美國》節目以及《時代周刊》《Vogue》等雜誌的采訪,可以說伊恩•艾瑞斯是那一代人裏成就最多、文章觀點被引用最多、名氣最大的法學教授。
Why would a casino try and stop you from losing? How can a mathematical formula find your future spouse? Would you know if a statistical analysis blackballed you from a job you wanted?
Today, number crunching affects your life in ways you might never imagine. In this lively and groundbreaking new book, economist Ian Ayres shows how today's best and brightest organizations are analyzing massive databases at lightening speed to provide greater insights into human behavior. They are the Super Crunchers. From internet sites like Google and Amazon that know your tastes better than you do, to a physician's diagnosis and your child's education, to boardrooms and government agencies, this new breed of decision makers are calling the shots. And they are delivering staggeringly accurate results. How can a football coach evaluate a player without ever seeing him play? Want to know whether the price of an airline ticket will go up or down before you buy? How can a formula outpredict wine experts in determining the best vintages? Super crunchers have the answers. In this brave new world of equation versus expertise, Ayres shows us the benefits and risks, who loses and who wins, and how super crunching can be used to help, not manipulate us.
Gone are the days of solely relying on intuition to make decisions. No businessperson, consumer, or student who wants to stay ahead of the curve should make another keystroke without reading Super Crunchers.
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評分作者是stevn levitt的朋友,也是好几本书的共同作者. 这本身和freakeconomic比起来,深入的讲到了(1)统计的方法(2)对社会的影响.如果你知道regression test , randomized test 和 neural network的话, 会有帮助理解那些分析的背景. 这本书也提供了很有趣的故事. 比如用regressio...
評分昨晚,终于把《超级数字天才》看完,看到很晚。 大概读了一个星期的时间,读的过程中,一直觉得这是一本很枯燥,很罗嗦的,挺难懂的书。 不过昨天晚上看的时候,最后一章----讲的是超级数字天才和经验直觉之间的互补,互相弥补----充分地展示数学或者说数字在现实中的应用,...
Super Crunchers 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025