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Reasoning about Uncertainty

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Joseph Y. Halpern 作者
The MIT Press
译者
2005-8-12 出版日期
497 页数
USD 49.00 价格
Paperback
丛书系列
9780262582599 图书编码

Reasoning about Uncertainty 在线电子书 图书标签: 逻辑学  哲学  不确定推理  Uncertainty  邏輯  美國  研究方法  知識論   


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Reasoning about Uncertainty 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

Reasoning about Uncertainty 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

Reasoning about Uncertainty 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024



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Uncertainty is a fundamental and unavoidable feature of daily life; in order to deal with uncertaintly intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it. In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it. While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty; the material is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics.Halpern begins by surveying possible formal systems for representing uncertainty, including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures. He considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; this leads to a discussion of qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. He considers not only the uncertainty of a single agent but also uncertainty in a multi-agent framework. Halpern then considers the formal logical systems for reasoning about uncertainty. He discusses knowledge and belief; default reasoning and the semantics of default; reasoning about counterfactuals, and combining probability and counterfactuals; belief revision; first-order modal logic; and statistics and beliefs. He includes a series of exercises at the end of each chapter.

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