Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent 21 years as a risk taker (quantitative trader) before becoming a flaneur and researcher in philosophical, mathematical and (mostly) practical problems with probability.
Taleb is the author of a multivolume essay, the Incerto (The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and Skin in the Game) an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don’t understand the world, expressed in the form of a personal essay with autobiographical sections, stories, parables, and philosophical, historical, and scientic discussions in nonover lapping volumes that can be accessed in any order.
In addition to his trader life, Taleb has also written, as a backup of the Incerto, more than 50 scholarly papers in statistical physics, statistics, philosophy, ethics, economics, international affairs, and quantitative finance, all around the notion of risk and probability.
Taleb is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at NYU's Tandon School of Engineering (only a quarter time position). His current focus is on the properties of systems that can handle disorder ("antifragile").
Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
From the New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan, a bold new work that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility
In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows how the willingness to accept one’s own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life.
As always both accessible and iconoclastic, Taleb challenges long-held beliefs about the values of those who spearhead military interventions, make financial investments, and propagate religious faiths. Among his insights:
• For social justice, focus on symmetry and risk sharing. You cannot make profits and transfer the risks to others, as bankers and large corporations do. You cannot get rich without owning your own risk and paying for your own losses. Forcing skin in the game corrects this asymmetry better than thousands of laws and regulations.
• Ethical rules aren’t universal. You’re part of a group larger than you, but it’s still smaller than humanity in general.
• Minorities, not majorities, run the world. The world is not run by consensus but by stubborn minorities imposing their tastes and ethics on others.
• You can be an intellectual yet still be an idiot. “Educated philistines” have been wrong on everything from Stalinism to Iraq to low-carb diets.
• Beware of complicated solutions (that someone was paid to find). A simple barbell can build muscle better than expensive new machines.
• True religion is commitment, not just faith. How much you believe in something is manifested only by what you’re willing to risk for it.
The phrase “skin in the game” is one we have often heard but rarely stopped to truly dissect. It is the backbone of risk management, but it’s also an astonishingly complex worldview that, as Taleb shows in this book, applies to all aspects of our lives.
第三卷 狗群中的狼。 如何合法控制他人 1.如何把人组织起来?(1)培训的名字心里操控(2)把他们拧在一起,某种程度上参与风险共担,与公司共担风险. 2.一种期奇效的奴隶制:支付超额工资,让他意识自己不值这个钱,同时害怕自己失去这一切。例如,外派人员大多数服从命令。 3...
评分第三卷 狗群中的狼。 如何合法控制他人 1.如何把人组织起来?(1)培训的名字心里操控(2)把他们拧在一起,某种程度上参与风险共担,与公司共担风险. 2.一种期奇效的奴隶制:支付超额工资,让他意识自己不值这个钱,同时害怕自己失去这一切。例如,外派人员大多数服从命令。 3...
评分 评分整本书最大的矛盾点在于: 作者一方面极力强调“时间是检验真理的唯一标准”,那些经历过几十代人传承下来的迷信行为、宗 教仪式都有其“理性”的一面,只是很难被我们绝大多数寿命有限、对概率的认识有限的凡人所理解。 而另一方面,作者又不断谴责那些未经“风险共担”的专家...
评分这本书的观点还挺有趣的,简单概括起来: - 如果一个人不需要对他的观点负责,不会受到切肤之痛的惩罚,不要相信他的观点和行动。比如在学术界,用同行评审来决定论文的好坏,而不是论文的实际结果来评定论文的好坏,没有反馈机制,都是不可信的。 - 在游戏中收益会不平均分配...
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评分庆幸自己在19周岁的时候就遇到了NNT,这样我就可以把他当作导师,循着他的路径去学习,去认知,比如我有大把时间去投入数学的学习,也有很多精力可以投入不确定性领域的实践中去,比如资本市场,或者Gambling,而不是只是follow他的思想,把他当作一个思想家,哲学家,然后自己从中获得感悟之类的,当你年轻,你可以获得的不只是感悟,因为你还可以去把他来时的路走上一遍。NNT的erudition是让我叹为观止的,也正是他让我知道什么叫现实思维。他对我的影响胜过其他任何人。
评分囫囵吞枣地看完了,感觉一个主题就是要适当地承担风险。
评分纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb)。塔勒布是我们非常熟悉的作者,他以前写过《随机漫步的傻瓜》、《黑天鹅》、和《反脆弱》三本书,讲的都是在这个 充满不确定性的现代社会里,我们应该怎么面对风险。这本新书和前面三本书一脉相承。塔勒布的说法是他这四本书,每一本都是前一本的一根肋骨变成的。 这本书说的是风险的对称性。
评分4.5星。
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