Western Intelligence and the Collapse of the Soviet Union 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 極權主義 情報 國際關係 International-Relations #FDP #
發表於2024-12-23
Western Intelligence and the Collapse of the Soviet Union 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024
David Arbel, is a former senior Israeli intelligence officer. Ran Edelist is a journalist and author.
In the second half of 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed. It was an event of major historic and global dimensions, yet this strategic transformation of international relations took the entire world totally by suprise - despite the fact that the West saw in the Communist power an ideological foe and a major military threat. During the 1980s Western intelligence services spent about USD40 billion every year, most of it to monitor the Soviet Union and its satellites. Yet all of them, without exception, were taken by surprise when the red empire crumbled. The American CIA, Britain's MI-6, Germany's BND and the French DGSE all failed to comprehend that the Soviet Union was approaching the end of its imperial existence. A handful of honest intelligence professionals who identified the signs of weakness and distress were shunted aside. The authors of this book interviewed dozens of people who dealt with Soviet affairs in the 1980s, most of them in the United States, some in Europe, the Soviet Union and Israel. The interviewees included high ranking government officials, academics and journalists, but mostly intelligence personnel. All admitted having been caught off guard, but differed over the reasons for their surprise, and who was responsible for it.
西方人对苏联研究的失败之处,在于他们没有预测能力,但他们受意识形态驱使而排斥对世界上这个地区做较为精确的社会科学分析,而这种分析可能包括“良好动机的成分,包括理性主义、利他主义、人的创造性,以及与“构造上的”宿命论和一概非法相反的不理智。真正的失败之处,在...
評分书中围绕西方情报机构对苏联解体的未预见性和在冷战时期西方与苏联,以美国中央情报局为代表的西方与苏联的情报机构克格勃的较量为引线。详细分析了当时美国、英国、苏联情报机构的开展,核武器对其机构的影响。以及英国盲从的相信美国的情报,导致了对苏联局势的误判。对当时...
評分“每一个受访者都毫不犹豫地承认苏联崩溃让他们吃了一惊,只是每个人对于这种毫无察觉给出的缘由却都互有不同。”这一点也让我很吃惊,一个重大的历史事件,也许往往并不能依靠分析研究,预测出准确形态。作者认为,当历史处于转折点时,运转的情报收集机制再复杂精巧,洞察转...
評分本书的观点就是:所有的西方情报机构——从美国中情局、以色列摩萨德、英国的军情六处,法国的对外安全局、意大利的军事情报局,到斯堪的纳维亚半岛国家和日本的情报机构——都没能预见到苏联的解体,堪称最明显的失败。作者进行了大量采访,使得本书引人入胜,可读性强,不像...
評分西方情报机构无论如何也与苏联解体脱不了干系,事实上,它在世界上多少地方在活动,在起决定性或颠覆性作用?大家隐约知道,但这本书告诉我们事件的细节和还原恢弘的历史剧。此书的翻译出版被列入中国社会科学院创新工程学术出版资助项目,可见其权威性,值得一读。
Western Intelligence and the Collapse of the Soviet Union 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024