Western Intelligence and the Collapse of the Soviet Union pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載2025
David Arbel, is a former senior Israeli intelligence officer. Ran Edelist is a journalist and author.
- 極權主義
- 情報
- 國際關係
- International-Relations
- #FDP
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In the second half of 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed. It was an event of major historic and global dimensions, yet this strategic transformation of international relations took the entire world totally by suprise - despite the fact that the West saw in the Communist power an ideological foe and a major military threat. During the 1980s Western intelligence services spent about USD40 billion every year, most of it to monitor the Soviet Union and its satellites. Yet all of them, without exception, were taken by surprise when the red empire crumbled. The American CIA, Britain's MI-6, Germany's BND and the French DGSE all failed to comprehend that the Soviet Union was approaching the end of its imperial existence. A handful of honest intelligence professionals who identified the signs of weakness and distress were shunted aside. The authors of this book interviewed dozens of people who dealt with Soviet affairs in the 1980s, most of them in the United States, some in Europe, the Soviet Union and Israel. The interviewees included high ranking government officials, academics and journalists, but mostly intelligence personnel. All admitted having been caught off guard, but differed over the reasons for their surprise, and who was responsible for it.
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讀後感
苏联解体既有苏联内容的原因也有西方势力的作用。一件事的发生必然有其内因和外因，内因的是赫鲁晓夫的改革政策，外因是西方势力的不断渗透。而西方是如何渗透的，就是我们要把握的关键。本书作者进行了大量采访，感觉就像是与完成任务的战士在对话一样。所以有必要了解西方情...
評分本书讲述了二战以来，美苏这两个国家，不断找寻着对方的弱点。在海洋、陆地、天空甚至太空都成了它们打斗的场所。本书的作者通过大量采访，受访者包括政府官员、学者以及情报官员，将二国知晓内幕的人的思维对策在本书中精彩呈现。对现今的社会仍具有历史的借鉴意义,值得深入思...
評分西方人对苏联研究的失败之处，在于他们没有预测能力，但他们受意识形态驱使而排斥对世界上这个地区做较为精确的社会科学分析，而这种分析可能包括“良好动机的成分，包括理性主义、利他主义、人的创造性，以及与“构造上的”宿命论和一概非法相反的不理智。真正的失败之处，在...
評分书中围绕西方情报机构对苏联解体的未预见性和在冷战时期西方与苏联，以美国中央情报局为代表的西方与苏联的情报机构克格勃的较量为引线。详细分析了当时美国、英国、苏联情报机构的开展，核武器对其机构的影响。以及英国盲从的相信美国的情报，导致了对苏联局势的误判。对当时...
評分阅读本书好像是在政客和情报官员的关系迷雾中漫步，其相识的分析不仅具备学术性，而且极富故事性，可以使普通读者了解冷战时期世界是如何变动的。其实这个故事挺可悲的，清包机构庞大臃肿，垄断专权，资源丰富，却未能遇见历史转折点的到来。这是近代历史上情报机构最明显的失败。
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