A Crisis of Beliefs pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
Nicola Gennaioli is professor of finance at Bocconi University in Italy. He lives in Milan. Andrei Shleifer is professor of economics at Harvard University. His books include Inefficient Markets: An Introduction to Behavioral Finance and The Grabbing Hand: Government Pathologies and Their Cures. He lives in Newton, Massachusetts.
- 经济学
- 金融
- 金融与理财
- 经济
- 金融心理学
- 金融危机
- 经济金融
- 洪灏推荐
How investor expectations move markets and the economy
The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 caught markets and regulators by surprise. Although the government rushed to rescue other financial institutions from a similar fate after Lehman, it could not prevent the deepest recession in postwar history. A Crisis of Beliefs makes us rethink the financial crisis and the nature of economic risk. In this authoritative and comprehensive book, two of today's most insightful economists reveal how our beliefs shape financial markets, lead to expansions of credit and leverage, and expose the economy to major risks.
Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer carefully walk readers through the unraveling of Lehman Brothers and the ensuing meltdown of the US financial system, and then present new evidence to illustrate the destabilizing role played by the beliefs of home buyers, investors, and regulators. Using the latest research in psychology and behavioral economics, they present a new theory of belief formation that explains why the financial crisis came as such a shock to so many people--and how financial and economic instability persist.
A must-read for anyone seeking insights into financial markets, A Crisis of Beliefs shows how even the smartest market participants and regulators did not fully appreciate the extent of economic risk, and offers a new framework for understanding today's unpredictable financial waters.
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Everything starts off well. A reintroduction of 2008 financial crisis is concise and not just repetition of what's been said. While qualitative part of the book is coherent and heuristic, quantitative formulas is killing me. So, skip those numerical expressions!
评分Everything starts off well. A reintroduction of 2008 financial crisis is concise and not just repetition of what's been said. While qualitative part of the book is coherent and heuristic, quantitative formulas is killing me. So, skip those numerical expressions!
评分biological reality VS rationality
评分人总是会赋予印象深刻的事更多权重。因此一件事情刚发生时，我们很难做到就事论事地评价它带来的影响；相反，这件事情会唤起我们对类似的经历的回忆，从而影响我们当下判断的客观性。可以与 Shiller 的 narrative economics 对比着读，一体两面。08年金融危机的媒体报道和渲染肯定在恐慌蔓延中起了很大作用。storytelling 不光对事后复盘很重要，也影响实时的判断和选择。
评分biological reality VS rationality
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