Antifragile 在线电子书 图书标签: 思维 心理学 社会学 哲学 英文原版 Taleb 经济学 美国
发表于2024-11-21
Antifragile 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024
新神谕。三观再次被刷新。
评分还是改不了看见愚蠢比喻就全盘否定的坏毛病
评分他其实说来说去就是两件事:Vega和Kurtosis, 糊糊文科生可以了,虽然写的还是很有趣。
评分第一次完整读完Taleb的书。他写的东西如果连贯起来读会觉得很罗嗦,当成独立的小杂文来读才读得下去……整个思想还是很有启发性的,可惜到最后还是没提出什么比较有建设性的解决方案。
评分There're much to be said about the book. It's loaded with both insights and rubbish.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how some things actually benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and in Antifragile he offers a definitive solution: how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. For what Taleb calls the “antifragile” is actually beyond the robust, because it benefits from shocks, uncertainty, and stressors, just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension. The antifragile needs disorder in order to survive and flourish.
Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is immune to prediction errors. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is everything that is both modern and complicated bound to fail? The book spans innovation by trial and error, health, biology, medicine, life decisions, politics, foreign policy, urban planning, war, personal finance, and economic systems. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are heard loud and clear.
Extremely ambitious and multidisciplinary, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to behave—and thrive—in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to understand and predict. Erudite and witty, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: What is not antifragile will surely perish.
本书作者名气比较大,写过《黑天鹅》《随机漫步的傻瓜》等书,据称专门研究不确定度性。本书是他以前的书的内容的延续。 书中最核心的观点是把风险与收益的关系换个说法又说了一遍。许多事情发生的概率越小,发生后的收益或者损失越大。 我认为作者陷入了锤子定子模式,把已知...
评分一个玻璃杯美美地放在桌子上,当摔到地上的时候它会瞬间破碎,所以玻璃杯就是脆弱的;如果摔到地上的是一个塑料杯,它不会破碎而会在地上弹两下,所以塑料杯是强韧的;想象一下有种杯子,当摔到地下的时候,它非但没有破碎反而变成了两个杯子,这个时候它就是反脆弱的。 ...
评分本书作者名气比较大,写过《黑天鹅》《随机漫步的傻瓜》等书,据称专门研究不确定度性。本书是他以前的书的内容的延续。 书中最核心的观点是把风险与收益的关系换个说法又说了一遍。许多事情发生的概率越小,发生后的收益或者损失越大。 我认为作者陷入了锤子定子模式,把已知...
评分0p 脆弱的事物喜欢安宁的环境,反脆弱的事物则从混乱中成长,强韧的事物不太在意环境。 0p 反脆弱性:从冲击中受益,暴露在波动性、随机性、混乱和压力、风险和不确定性下时,反而能茁壮成长和壮大,从随机事件中获得有利结果。 0p 风会熄灭蜡烛,却能使火越烧越旺...
Antifragile 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024