Adaptive Markets 在线电子书 图书标签: 金融 经济学 金融学 进化论 生物学 进化 英文书 金融知识
发表于2024-11-22
Adaptive Markets 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024
从以往的了解,罗闻全开创了生物金融学这个领域,试图证明损失厌恶等异象为常态,在本书中作者试图挑战有效市场假说,提出了适应性市场假说,这种观点还有待商榷,这本书总体而言还可读,但是并没有达到预期
评分适应性市场假说实际上采用了二元选择模型糅合了有效市场假说和行为金融学,并从生物进化学,神经科学,人工智能等方面去解释市场,即金融体系不是物理或机械的系统,而是生态系统——一个相互依赖的物种组成的集合,所有人都在不断变化的环境中为生存和繁殖而奋斗。其中最有启发的章节是第六章,第七章,第八章。
评分看完感觉就是观点少 扯了一堆没用的
评分罗大哥最大的功力就是特别能扯淡,去Youtube看看他的talk就会觉得你说什么我都信。可是看完又觉得写得有些混乱。书的前半部分很好地反驳了EMH,但后半部分究竟要怎么构建并推广AMH还是不清楚。感觉目前AMH仍旧是大而空的概念。而且男神最近的publication有点跑偏,做的好的神经科学+finance还是看Camelia Kuhnen。
评分One Of The Smartest Men In The History Of Finance Invented A Fund That Cannot Make Money In Any Environment.
Andrew W. Lo is the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management and director of the MIT Laboratory for Financial Engineering. He is the author of Hedge Funds and the coauthor of A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street and The Econometrics of Financial Markets (all Princeton). He is also the founder of AlphaSimplex Group, a quantitative investment management company based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Half of all Americans have money in the stock market, yet economists can't agree on whether investors and markets are rational and efficient, as modern financial theory assumes, or irrational and inefficient, as behavioral economists believe--and as financial bubbles, crashes, and crises suggest. This is one of the biggest debates in economics and the value or futility of investment management and financial regulation hang on the outcome. In this groundbreaking book, Andrew Lo cuts through this debate with a new framework, the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis, in which rationality and irrationality coexist.
Drawing on psychology, evolutionary biology, neuroscience, artificial intelligence, and other fields, Adaptive Markets shows that the theory of market efficiency isn't wrong but merely incomplete. When markets are unstable, investors react instinctively, creating inefficiencies for others to exploit. Lo's new paradigm explains how financial evolution shapes behavior and markets at the speed of thought--a fact revealed by swings between stability and crisis, profit and loss, and innovation and regulation.
A fascinating intellectual journey filled with compelling stories, Adaptive Markets starts with the origins of market efficiency and its failures, turns to the foundations of investor behavior, and concludes with practical implications--including how hedge funds have become the Galapagos Islands of finance, what really happened in the 2008 meltdown, and how we might avoid future crises.
An ambitious new answer to fundamental questions in economics, Adaptive Markets is essential reading for anyone who wants to know how markets really work.
从西方经济学体系开始建立,市场就一直高傲地在那里,任各路专家、各路商人、各路散民研究探索,有时给人类很大自信,有时给人类重重一击。数字、逻辑、心理,对市场的解读似乎都对,又似乎都不准。有效市场和理性经济人假说都知道是绝对情况,但丝毫不影响经济学家们用模型算...
评分看得真是手不释卷。 还没看完。 讲了很多。 大概是讲: 情绪是理性的基础,人类把对之前环境适应的反应内化成了情绪,是理性,高效的。但一旦环境变了,这种原本适应环境的行为在新的条件下就非常不理智了。在市场上也是这样。 很难一下总结。 先记个例子吧 就是投资的人都知道...
评分人类实时形成的贴现率曲线在一张图上的形状类似于双曲线——短期内非常高,在长期内非常平坦——因此被称为双曲贴现。 尤金·法玛有一个聪明的方法来避免双曲贴现陷阱。当法码被邀请演讲或参与一些商业活动时,他说了一个决定是否接受的简单规则:无论一件事情有多遥远,他会问...
评分书只看了一小半,看到了一些批评的声音,一些看法,权做讨论。 应该是基于我们传统的思维习惯,我们国人在看书的时候比较执迷于一套闭合的体系:逻辑严密,框架规整,也即偏好于一套自圆其说、充分自洽的理论,放之四海皆准,更优。因此很多读老外书的人常常大失所望,因为老外...
评分书只看了一小半,看到了一些批评的声音,一些看法,权做讨论。 应该是基于我们传统的思维习惯,我们国人在看书的时候比较执迷于一套闭合的体系:逻辑严密,框架规整,也即偏好于一套自圆其说、充分自洽的理论,放之四海皆准,更优。因此很多读老外书的人常常大失所望,因为老外...
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