John Kenneth Galbraith (1908-2006) was a critically acclaimed author and one of America's foremost economists. His most famous works include The Affluent Society, The Good Society, and The Great Crash. Galbraith was the receipient of the Order of Canada and the Robert F. Kennedy Book Award for Lifetime Achievement, and he was twice awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
James K. Galbraith holds the Lloyd M. Bentsen Jr. Chair in Government/Business Relations at the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas at Austin. He lives in Austin, Texas.
Rampant speculation. Record trading volumes. Assets bought not because of their value but because the buyer believes he can sell them for more in a day or two, or an hour or two. Welcome to the late 1920s in the US. There are obvious and absolute parallels to the great bull market of the late 1990s, writes Galbraith in a new introduction dated 1997. Of course, Galbraith notes, every financial bubble since 1929 has been compared to the Great Crash, which is why this book has never been out of print since it became a bestseller in 1955.
Galbraith writes with great wit and erudition about the perilous actions of investors and the curious inaction of the government. He notes that the problem wasn't a scarcity of securities to buy and sell: "The ingenuity and zeal with which companies were devised in which securities might be sold was as remarkable as anything." Those words become strikingly relevant in light of revenue-negative start-up companies coming into the market each week in the 1990s, along with fragmented pieces of established companies, like real estate and bottling plants. Of course, the 1920s were different from the 1990s. There was no safety net below citizens, no unemployment insurance or Social Security. And today we don't have the creepy investment trusts--in which shares of companies that held some stocks and bonds were sold for several times the assets' market value. But, boy, are the similarities spooky, particularly the prevailing trend at the time toward corporate mergers and industry consolidations--not to mention all the partially informed people who imagined themselves to be financial geniuses because the shares of stock they bought kept going up. --Lou Schuler, Amazon.com
科斯托拉尼老先生说过,股市的涨跌只关乎两个因素:资金和预期。 2007年的中国,央行调整了六次的利率还是没赶上CPI。爱储蓄的中国人实在不知道钱该往哪儿花,于是,第一个因素满足了:资金。 同样是2007年的中国,GDP年增长率达到了11.4%,国内外形势一片大好。于是,第二个...
评分崩盘:非理性繁荣的极限 上世纪二十年代的美国,股票市场的成交量不断被刷,道琼斯股指最高时候冲上469.49点,美国人的财富一夜之间暴涨无数,本是一个处处洋溢着乐观气息的繁荣天堂。——如果,没有1929年那场可怕的大崩盘的话。 1929年10月24日,美国股市的“黑色星期四”...
评分印象中以前接触过《1929大崩溃》,不过这个噱头似的书名并没让我多留意,前两天无意在加尔布雷斯的随笔集中得知竟然是这位老先生的作品;想读这本书,除了作者的原因,还有个直截了当的想法,就是加老对1929年大崩盘的分析,是否还能够部分用来解释从6000多点一下跌倒2000多点...
评分1929年的股市大崩溃其实并不是说一天股市就完了,而是连续阴跌了4年,其间也有很多次反弹,就像某国的股市也可以从1670多点反弹到2405点。1929年的环境和现在差别很大,现在股市下跌原因也更加多元化,但有一点感觉很类似:很多人面临的威胁就是明明知道事态非常不妙,并将继续...
评分印象中以前接触过《1929大崩溃》,不过这个噱头似的书名并没让我多留意,前两天无意在加尔布雷斯的随笔集中得知竟然是这位老先生的作品;想读这本书,除了作者的原因,还有个直截了当的想法,就是加老对1929年大崩盘的分析,是否还能够部分用来解释从6000多点一下跌倒2000多点...
人名地名改一改,就是一本a great crash 2015。主要写股市崩盘的过程,原因和后果分析很单薄,对未来的预期也过度乐观。
评分人名地名改一改,就是一本a great crash 2015。主要写股市崩盘的过程,原因和后果分析很单薄,对未来的预期也过度乐观。
评分人名地名改一改,就是一本a great crash 2015。主要写股市崩盘的过程,原因和后果分析很单薄,对未来的预期也过度乐观。
评分人名地名改一改,就是一本a great crash 2015。主要写股市崩盘的过程,原因和后果分析很单薄,对未来的预期也过度乐观。
评分人名地名改一改,就是一本a great crash 2015。主要写股市崩盘的过程,原因和后果分析很单薄,对未来的预期也过度乐观。
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