Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles

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出版者:Ludwig von Mises Institute
作者:Jesus Huerta de Soto
出品人:
页数:885
译者:
出版时间:2009-4-14
价格:USD 35.00
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9781933550398
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 经济学
  • 奧地利學派
  • 经济
  • Economics
  • 货币经济学
  • 貨幣
  • 西班牙
  • 經濟週期
  • 经济周期
  • 货币
  • 银行信用
  • 金融
  • 宏观经济学
  • 经济学
  • 商业周期
  • 信贷
  • 货币政策
  • 金融危机
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具体描述

Can the market fully manage the money and banking sector?

Jesús Huerta de Soto, professor of economics at the Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid, has made history with this mammoth and exciting treatise that it has and can again, without inflation, without business cycles, and without the economic instability that has characterized the age of government control.

Such a book as this comes along only once every several generations: a complete comprehensive treatise on economic theory. It is sweeping, revolutionary, and devastating--not only the most extended elucidation of Austrian business cycle theory to ever appear in print but also a decisive vindication of the Misesian-Rothbardian perspective on money, banking, and the law.

Jörg Guido Hülsmann has said that this is the most significant work on money and banking to appear since 1912, when Mises's own book was published and changed the way all economists thought about the subject.

Its five main contributions:

a wholesale reconstruction of the legal framework for money and banking, from the ancient world to modern times,

an application of law-and-economics logic to banking that links microeconomic analysis to macroeconomic phenomena,

a comprehensive critique of fractional-reserve banking from the point of view of history, theory, and policy,

an application of the Austrian critique of socialism to central banking,

the most comprehensive look at banking enterprise from the point of view of market-based entrepreneurship.

Those are the main points but, in fact, this only scratches the surface. Indeed, it would be difficult to overestimate the importance of this book. De Soto provides also a defense of the Austrian perspective on business cycles against every other theory, defends the 100% reserve perspective from the point of view of Roman and British law, takes on the most important objections to full reserve theory, and presents a full policy program for radical reform.

It was Hülsmann's review of the Spanish edition that inspired the translation that led to this Mises Institute edition in English. The result is astonishing: an 875-page masterpiece that utterly demolishes the case for fiat currency and central banking, and shows that these institutions have compromised economic stability and freedom, and, moreover, are intolerable in a free society.

De Soto has set new scholarly standards with this detailed discussion of monetary reform from an Austro-libertarian point of view. Huerta de Soto s solid elaboration of his arguments along these lines makes his treatise a model illustration of the Austrian approach to the study of the relationship between law and economics.

It could take a decade for the full implications of this book to be absorbed but this much is clear: all serious students of these subject matters will have to master this treatise.

现代金融市场:挑战与机遇 本书深入剖析了当代金融市场的复杂动态,聚焦于金融创新、监管演变以及全球经济周期中的关键议题。这不是一本关于货币历史或传统银行体系运作的教科书,而是一部探讨信息时代金融工具如何重塑投资行为和宏观经济稳定性的专业著作。 第一部分:金融创新的双刃剑 金融市场从传统的有形资产交易,迅速转向了由复杂衍生工具和数字化平台驱动的“无形经济”。本书的第一部分详细考察了过去二十年间涌现出的主要金融创新,特别是结构化产品和高频交易(HFT)的兴起对市场效率和风险集中度的影响。 我们首先探讨了金融工程在资产证券化过程中扮演的角色。从抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)到更复杂的债务抵押债券(CDO),这些工具的初衷是为了分散风险,但在实践中却创造了新的、难以估量的系统性风险。书中分析了2008年金融危机中,评级机构的角色失灵以及信息不对称如何被这些复杂产品放大。我们没有沉溺于对历史事件的简单复盘,而是着重分析了这些金融工具背后的数学模型和其在压力情景下的表现(Stress Testing)。 随后,我们将注意力转向了新兴的金融科技(FinTech)。加密货币、去中心化金融(DeFi)以及区块链技术正在挑战中央银行的传统职能和商业银行的支付垄断地位。本书批判性地审视了DeFi承诺的“普惠金融”与其实际上面临的监管真空和潜在的市场操纵之间的张力。我们使用了计量经济学模型来评估稳定币对传统货币政策传导机制的潜在干扰。书中明确指出,金融创新在提升交易速度和降低部分交易成本的同时,也带来了“闪电崩盘”(Flash Crashes)和网络安全等新型系统风险。 第二部分:监管的滞后性与适应性 金融创新总是领先于监管框架的建立。第二部分致力于分析全球主要经济体如何试图在促进金融发展与维护市场稳定之间找到平衡点。 我们详细研究了《多德-弗兰克法案》、《巴塞尔协议III》以及欧洲的《市场金融工具指令II》(MiFID II)等核心监管框架的演变。这些法规旨在提高银行资本充足率、改善衍生品清算流程并增强市场透明度。然而,监管的有效性受到“监管套利”的持续挑战。书中探讨了大型金融机构如何利用跨境业务和影子银行体系来规避严格的资本要求,这使得监管的有效边界变得模糊。 特别值得关注的是对系统重要性金融机构(SIFIs)监管的深入分析。本书提出了一个核心论点:对特定机构的严格监管可能仅仅是将风险转移到了监管的盲区——即那些规模较小但相互关联性极强的非银行金融中介机构。我们通过网络分析工具,展示了金融机构之间复杂的关联网络,并评估了在不同监管情景下,网络中关键节点的失效对整个系统的冲击。 此外,本书对跨境金融监管合作的不足进行了批判性反思。在全球化背景下,金融危机不再是孤立事件。不同司法管辖区对同一类金融活动的定义和监管力度不一,这为系统性风险的累积提供了温床。 第三部分:全球经济周期与资产定价的重构 当代金融市场与宏观经济的互动比以往任何时候都更为紧密。第三部分聚焦于货币政策、流动性和资产估值之间的动态关系。 在量化宽松(QE)和负利率政策(ZIRP)的背景下,传统资产定价模型(如CAPM)的解释力被削弱。本书分析了大规模资产购买计划如何扭曲风险溢价,并将大量流动性推向股票、房地产和私募股权等非传统资产,推高了风险资产的估值。我们使用了动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE)的变体,来模拟非常规货币政策对投资、消费和财富分配的影响。 书中强调了流动性风险的隐蔽性。表面上,许多市场的流动性指标看似健康,但一旦市场情绪逆转,流动性可能瞬间枯竭。我们考察了不同资产类别在市场恐慌时期的相关性(Correlation during Crisis),发现许多资产在避险阶段的趋同性急剧增加,这使得传统的多元化投资策略面临严峻考验。 最后,本书讨论了全球债务水平高企对未来经济增长的制约。公共债务、企业债和家庭债务的累积,使得央行在应对下一次衰退时,政策工具箱的选择余地大大缩小。我们评估了债务/GDP比率的临界点,以及债务驱动型增长模式(Debt-fueled Growth)的长期可持续性问题,并探讨了在利率正常化进程中,高杠杆企业可能面临的“僵尸化”风险。 结论:面向未来的审慎金融 本书的结论部分总结了金融市场在创新、监管与宏观稳定之间持续拉锯的本质。我们呼吁市场参与者和政策制定者培养一种“审慎的乐观主义”——既要拥抱技术进步带来的效率提升,也要对模型和假设的局限性保持深刻的警惕。未来的金融稳定,将取决于能否建立一个更具韧性、更少信息鸿沟、并且能够快速适应新型风险的全球金融治理体系。这是一部为专业投资者、监管官员和高级经济学学者准备的深入研究报告,旨在提供一个清晰、全面且富有洞察力的框架,以理解和应对21世纪金融世界的挑战。

作者简介

赫苏斯•韦尔塔•德索托 (J.Huerta de Soto 1956— ) 奥地利学派著名的经济学家,马德里康普顿斯大学政治经济学终身教授,胡安•卡洛斯国王大学博士生导师。1983年获“胡安•卡洛斯国王国际奖”。2005年获亚当•斯密奖终身成就奖。著有《社会主义、经济计算与企业家才能》(Socialism,Economic Calculation and Entrepreneurship)(吉林出版集团,2011年1月),《奥地利学派:市场秩序与企业家才能》(The Austrian School:Market Order and Entreprenearial Creativity)(浙江大学出版社,2010年11月)等。

目录信息

CONTENTS
Preface to the English-Language Edition
Preface to the Second Spanish Edition
Introduction
Chapter 1: The Legal Nature of the Monetary Irregular-Deposit Contract
A Preliminary Clarification of Terms: Loan Contracts (Mutuum and Commodatum)and Deposit Contracts
The Commodatum Contract
The Mutuum Contract
The Deposit Contract
The Deposit of Fungible Goods or "Irregular" Deposit Contract
The Economic and Social Function of Irregular Deposits
The Fundamental Element in the Monetary Irregular Deposit
Resulting Effects of the Failure to Comply with the Essential Obligation in the Irregular Deposit
Court Decisions Acknowledging the Fundamental Legal Principles which Govern the Monetary Irregular-Deposit Contract (100-Percent Reserve Requirement)
The Essential Differences Between the Irregular Deposit Contract and the Monetary Loan Contract
The Extent to Which Property Rights are Transferred in Each Contract
Fundamental Economic Differences Between the Two Contracts
Fundamental Legal Differences Between the Two Contracts
The Discovery by Roman Legal Experts of the General Legal Principles Governing the Monetary Irregular-Deposit Contract
The Emergence of Traditional Legal Principles According to Menger, Hayek and Leoni
Roman Jurisprudence
The Irregular Deposit Contract Under Roman Law
Chapter 2: Historical Violations of the Legal Principles Legal Principles Governing the Monetary Irregular-Deposit Contract
Introduction
Banking in Greece and Rome
Trapezitei, or Greek Bankers
Banking in the Hellenistic World
Banking in Rome
The Failure of the Christian Callistus's Bank
The Societates Argentariae
Bankers in the Late Middle Ages
The Revival of Deposit Banking in Mediterranean Europe
The Canonical Ban on Usury and the "Depositum Confessatum"
Banking in Florence in the Fourteenth Century
The Medici Bank
Banking in Catalonia in the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Centuries: The Taula de Canvi
Banking During the Reign of Charles V and the Doctrine of the School of Salamanca
The Development of Banking in Seville
The School of Salamanca and the Banking Business
A New Attempt at Legitimate Banking: The Bank of Amsterdam.
Banking in the Seventeenth and Eighteenth Centuries
The Bank of Amsterdam
David Hume and the Bank of Amsterdam
Sir James Steuart, Adam Smith and the Bank of Amsterdam
The Banks of Sweden and England
John Law and Eighteenth-Century Banking in France
Richard Cantillon and the Fraudulent Violation of the Irregular-Deposit Contract
Chapter 3: Attempts to Legally Justify Fractional-Reserve Banking
Introduction
Why it is Impossible to Equate the Irregular Deposit with the Loan or Mutuum Contract
The Roots of the Confusion
The Mistaken Doctrine of Common Law
The Doctrine of Spanish Civil and Commercial Codes
Criticism of the Attempt to Equate the Monetary Irregular-Deposit Contract with the Loan or Mutuum Contract
The Distinct Cause or Purpose of Each Contract
The Notion of the Unspoken or Implicit Agreement
An Inadequate Solution: The Redefinition of the Concept of Availability
The Monetary Irregular Deposit, Transactions with a Repurchase Agreement and Life Insurance Contracts
Transactions with a Repurchase Agreement
The Case of Life Insurance Contract
Chapter 4: The Credit Expansion Process
Introduction
The Bank's Role as a True Intermediary in the Loan Contract
The Bank's Role in the Monetary Bank-Deposit Contract
The Effects Produced by Bankers' Use of Demand Deposits: The Case of an Individual Bank
The Continental Accounting System
Accounting Practices in the English-speaking World
An Isolated Bank's Capacity for Credit Expansion and Deposit Creation
The Case of a Very Small Bank
Credit Expansion and Ex Nihilo Deposit Creation by a Sole, Monopolistic Bank
Credit Expansion and New Deposit Creation by the Entire Banking System
Creation of Loans in a System of Small Banks
A Few Additional Difficulties
When Expansion is Initiated Simultaneously by All Banks
Filtering Out the Money Supply From the Banking System
The Maintenance of Reserves Exceeding the Minimum Requirement
Different Reserve Requirements for Different Types of Deposits
The Parallels Between the Creation of Deposits and the Issuance of Unbacked Banknotes
The Credit Tightening Process
Chapter 5: Bank Credit Expansion and Its Effects on the Economic System
The Foundations of Capital Theory
Human Action as a Series of Subjective Stages
Capital and Capital Goods
The Interest Rate
The Structure of Production
Some Additional Considerations
Criticism of the Measures used in National Income Accounting
The Effect on the Productive Structure of an Increase in Credit Financed under a Prior Increase in Voluntary Saving
The Three Different Manifestations of the Process of Voluntary Saving
Account Records of Savings Channeled into Loans
The Issue of Consumer Loans
The Effects of Voluntary Saving on the Productive Structure
First: The Effect Produced by the New Disparity in Profits Between the Different Productive Stages
Second: The Effect of the Decrease in the Interest Rate on the Market Price of Capital Goods
Third: The Ricardo Effect
Conclusion: The Emergence of a New, More Capital-Intensive Productive Structure
The Theoretical Solution to the "Paradox of Thrift"
The Case of an Economy in Regression
The Effects of Bank Credit Expansion Unbacked by an Increase in Saving: The Austrian Theory or Circulation Credit Theory of the Business Cycle
The Effects of Credit Expansion on the Productive Structure
The Market's Spontaneous Reaction to Credit Expansion
Banking, Fractional-Reserve Ratios and the Law of Large Numbers
Chapter 6: Additional Considerations on the Theory of the Business Cycle
Why no Crisis Erupts when New Investment is Financed by Real Saving (And Not by Credit Expansion)
The Possibility of Postponing the Eruption of the Crisis: The Theoretical Explanation of the Process of Stagflation
Consumer Credit and the Theory of the Cycle
The Self-Destructive Nature of the Artificial Booms Caused by Credit Expansion: The Theory of "Forced Saving"
The Squandering of Capital, Idle Capacity and Malinvestment of Productive Resources
Credit Expansion as the Cause of Massive Unemployment
National Income Accounting is Inadequate to Reflect the Different Stages in the Business Cycle
Entrepreneurship and the Theory of the Cycle
The Policy of General-Price-Level Stabilization and its Destabilizing Effects on the Economy
How to Avoid Business Cycles: Prevention of and Recovery from the Economic Crisis
The Theory of the Cycle and Idle Resources: Their Role in the Initial Stages of the Boom
The Necessary Tightening of Credit in the Recession Stage: Criticism of the Theory of "Secondary Depression"
The "Manic-Depressive" Economy: The Dampening of the Entrepreneurial Spirit and Other Negative Effects Recurring Business Cycles Exert on the Market Economy
The Influence Exerted on the Stock Market by Economic Fluctuations
Effects the Business Cycle Exerts on the Banking Sector
Marx, Hayek and the View that Economic Crises are Intrinsic to Market Economies
Two Additional Considerations
Empirical Evidence for the Theory of the Cycle
Business Cycles Prior to the Industrial Revolution
Business Cycles From the Industrial Revolution Onward
The Roaring Twenties and the Great Depression of 1929
The Economic Recessions of the Late 1970s and Early 1990s
Some Empirical Testing of the Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle
Conclusion
Chapter 7: A Critique of Monetarist and Keynesian Theories
Introduction
A Critique of Monetarism
The Mythical Concept of Capital
Austrian Criticism of Clark and Knight
A Critique of the Mechanistic Monetarist Version of the Quantity Theory of Money
A Brief Note on the Theory of Rational Expectations
Criticism of Keynesian Economics
Say's Law of Markets
Keynes's Three Arguments On Credit Expansion
Keynesian Analysis as a Particular Theory
The So-Called Marginal Efficiency of Capital
Keynes's Criticism of Mises and Hayek
Criticism of the Keynesian Multiplier
Criticism of the "Accelerator" Principle
The Marxist Tradition and the Austrian Theory of Economic Cycles: The Neo-Ricardian Revolution and the Reswitching Controversy
Conclusion
Appendix on Life Insurance Companies and Other Non-Bank Financial Intermediaries
Life Insurance Companies as True Financial Intermediaries
Surrender Values and the Money Supply
The Corruption of Traditional Life-Insurance Principles
Other True Financial Intermediaries: Mutual Funds and Holding and Investment Companies
Specific Comments on Credit Insurance
Chapter 8: Central and Free Banking Theory
A Critical Analysis of the Banking School
The Banking and Currency Views and the School of Salamanca
The Response of the English-Speaking World to these Ideas on Bank Money
The Controversy Between the Currency School and the Banking School
The Debate Between Defenders of the Central Bank and Advocates of Free Banking
Parnell's Pro-Free-Banking Argument and the Responses of McCulloch and Longfield
A False Start for the Controversy Between Central Banking and Free Banking
The Case for a Central Bank
The Position of the Currency-School Theorists who Defended a Free-Banking System
The "Theorem of the Impossibility of Socialism" and its Application to the Central Bank
The Theory of the Impossibility of Coordinating Society Based on Institutional Coercion or the Violation of Traditional Legal Principles
The Application of the Theorem of the Impossibility of Socialism to the Central Bank and the Fractional-Reserve Banking System
(a) A System Based on a Central Bank Which Controls and Oversees a Network of Private Banks that Operate with a Fractional Reserve
(b) A Banking System which Operates with a 100-Percent Reserve Ratio and is Controlled by a Central Bank
(c) A Fractional-Reserve Free-Banking System
Conclusion: The Failure of Banking Legislation
A Critical Look at the Modern Fractional-Reserve Free-Banking School
The Erroneous Basis of the Analysis: The Demand for Fiduciary Media, Regarded as an Exogenous Variable
The Possibility that a Fractional-Reserve Free-Banking System May Unilaterally Initiate Credit Expansion
The Theory of "Monetary Equilibrium" in Free Banking Rests on an Exclusively Macroeconomic Analysis
The Confusion Between the Concept of Saving and that of the Demand for Money
The Problem with Historical Illustrations of Free-Banking Systems
Ignorance of Legal Arguments
Conclusion: The False Debate between Supporters of Central Banking and Defenders of Fractional-Reserve Free Banking
Chapter 9: A Proposal for Banking Reform: The Theory of a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement
A History of Modern Theories in Support of a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement
The Proposal of Ludwig von Mises
F.A. Hayek and the Proposal of a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement
Murray N. Rothbard and the Proposal of a Pure Gold Standard with a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement
Maurice Allais and the European Defense of a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement
The Old Chicago-School Tradition of Support for a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement
Our Proposal for Banking Reform
Total Freedom of Choice in Currency
A System of Complete Banking Freedom
The Obligation of All Agents in a Free-Banking System to Observe Traditional Legal Rules and Principles, Particularly a 100-Percent Reserve Requirement on Demand Deposits
What Would the Financial and Banking System of a Totally Free Society be Like?
An Analysis of the Advantages of the Proposed System
Replies to Possible Objections to our Proposal for Monetary Reform
An Economic Analysis of the Process of Reform and Transition toward the Proposed Monetary and Banking System
A Few Basic Strategic Principles
Stages in the Reform of the Financial and Banking System
The Importance of the Third and Subsequent Stages in the Reform: The Possibility They Offer of Paying Off the National Debt or Social Security Pension Liabilities
The Application of the Theory of Banking and Financial Reform to the European Monetary Union and the Building of the Financial Sector in Economies of the Former Eastern Bloc
Conclusion: The Banking System of a Free Society
Bibliography
Index of Subjects
Index of Names
· · · · · · (收起)

读后感

评分

奥派的商业周期理论过于抽象。 逻辑上是对的,如果想从微观视角更符合直觉地理解商业周期,应该去看《货币论》、《稳定不稳定的经济》里讲到的商业周期。 后者对商业周期的解释就是: 在没有政府没有国际贸易的情况下,利润=I-S 投资越多,当期的资本回报越高(即利润),于是...  

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很厚重的一本书,也很贵,下了英文版没读,掏钱买中文版两天读完,觉得稍微傻了点…… 内容不觉得有什么新意,一直在思考理论中的问题和政策可行性,结果是理论问题有,政策可行性几乎没有,百分百准备金,还金本位,实在觉得有点天真了。号称集奥派大成,集没集说不准,没什么...

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奥派的商业周期理论过于抽象。 逻辑上是对的,如果想从微观视角更符合直觉地理解商业周期,应该去看《货币论》、《稳定不稳定的经济》里讲到的商业周期。 后者对商业周期的解释就是: 在没有政府没有国际贸易的情况下,利润=I-S 投资越多,当期的资本回报越高(即利润),于是...  

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浓黑的背景下,一个由美元构成的金字塔摇摇欲坠,似乎在暗示着美元这种统治了全世界大半个世纪的国际货币并不光明的未来,这就是《货币、银行信贷与经济周期》这本书给读者的第一印象。的确,自从二战后布雷顿森林体系确立了美元的霸权地位以来,由美元主导的世界经济体系走到...  

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标准的奥派作品 本书的核心思想就是部分保证金制度是赤裸裸的欺诈,恢复百分百保证金才是王道。 顺带黑了凯恩斯一把,说他学力有限,读不懂德文,不知道奥派的精华所在,是个学渣。 但现实是残酷的,在信用货币的主导下,谈百分百保证金没有任何意义。 也许在比特币统治的世界...  

用户评价

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这本书给我带来的最大改变,是对“财富”的理解。过去,我可能更多地将财富视为个人的储蓄或资产。然而,通过阅读这本书,我认识到,在现代经济体系中,信贷的扩张也是一种“虚拟财富”的创造,它能够刺激消费和投资,从而推动经济增长。但是,这种虚拟财富的不可持续性,以及它可能带来的风险,也让我有了更深的警惕。

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这本书最让我印象深刻的是作者对“货币供给”概念的重新审视。他并非简单地将货币视为由央行控制的实体,而是将其视为一个更加动态和复杂的系统,其中银行信贷的创造起着至关重要的作用。这种观点挑战了许多传统货币理论的假设,并为理解通货膨胀和通货紧缩的成因提供了新的思路。我尤其对作者关于“内生货币”的论述感到好奇,即货币的产生很大程度上是由经济活动的需要决定的,而非仅仅是央行单方面的供给。这让我重新思考了“货币是价值的尺度”这一基本概念,以及它在现代金融体系中的复杂演变。

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《金钱、银行信贷与经济周期》这本书,从一个全新的角度审视了经济运行的内在逻辑。作者打破了许多僵化的经济学理论框架,以一种更加贴近现实的方式,揭示了货币和信贷在经济周期中所扮演的角色。我过去对经济学的一些疑问,在这本书中得到了解答。例如,为什么有时看似积极的经济政策,却会引发意想不到的负面后果?作者通过对信贷市场传导机制的深入剖析,为这些问题提供了富有说服力的解释。

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我必须要说,《金钱、银行信贷与经济周期》这本书的内容之深刻,是我在阅读过的许多经济学书籍中所罕见的。作者并没有回避经济学中一些最棘手的问题,比如金融市场的内在不稳定性和周期性波动。他通过对信贷和货币之间复杂相互作用的分析,为理解这些问题提供了新的视角。这本书让我更加理解为什么经济会经历繁荣与衰退的交替,以及银行在其中扮演的关键角色。

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这本书的独特之处在于其对经济周期的微观基础的关注。不同于许多宏观经济学派侧重于 aggregate demand or supply 的分析,作者着重考察了微观经济主体(家庭、企业、银行)在信贷市场上的决策如何累积效应,最终引发宏观经济的波动。他详尽地解释了为什么信贷的产生和消散会对投资、消费和资产价格产生如此巨大的影响。例如,当银行愿意提供宽松的信贷时,企业更容易获得资金进行扩张,这可能导致新的项目启动,就业增加,股市上涨。反之,当银行收紧银根时,企业融资困难,投资意愿下降,可能导致裁员,经济活动放缓。这种从微观到宏观的传导机制,被作者用清晰的逻辑和翔实的例子加以阐述,对于理解经济周期的本质具有极大的启发意义。我尤其欣赏作者对于“错配”概念的强调,即生产结构与消费偏好之间的不协调,以及银行在其中扮演的放大器角色。

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尽管《金钱、银行信贷与经济周期》是一本关于经济学的书籍,但它所阐述的道理,其意义远远超出了经济学本身。它让我思考,在追求经济增长和繁荣的同时,我们应该如何避免那些可能导致系统性风险的行为。作者对信贷和货币问题的深刻洞察,不仅对于经济学家,对于每一个关心经济发展和个人财富的人来说,都具有重要的参考价值。

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读完《金钱、银行信贷与经济周期》这本书,我深感震撼。作者以一种近乎哲学的高度,剖析了金钱的本质,以及它如何与银行信贷系统相互作用,最终驱动着宏观经济的潮起潮落。在许多经济学著作中,金钱往往被视为一种抽象的工具,用于衡量价值、交换商品。然而,本书却将金钱置于一个更广阔的视野下,揭示了其内在的社会、历史乃至心理层面的维度。从最古老的物物交换,到贝壳、金属货币,再到如今错综复杂的电子记账,金钱的演变史就是一部人类文明的缩影。作者并没有停留在历史的梳理,而是深入探讨了信用在现代经济中的核心地位。银行,作为信用的生产者和管理者,其运作方式直接影响着货币的供给和流通速度。当信贷扩张时,经济往往会经历繁荣;而当信贷收缩时,则可能引发衰退。这种因果关系被作者描绘得淋漓尽致,让人对金融机构的稳健性有了全新的认识。

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在阅读《金钱、银行信贷与经济周期》的过程中,我常常会联想到自己亲身经历过的经济现象。比如,在某些时期,大家似乎更容易获得贷款,消费和投资都显得十分活跃;而在另一些时期,银行的态度则变得谨慎,借贷的难度大大增加,经济活动也随之放缓。这本书为这些日常观察提供了一个深刻的理论框架。作者通过对不同历史时期和不同国家经济状况的分析,揭示了这些周期性波动的共同规律。他没有止步于描述现象,而是深入探究了其背后的机制,尤其是银行在信贷创造过程中的作用。

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本书并非一本纯粹的理论著作,它充满了对现实经济世界的深刻洞察。作者在论证过程中,常常引用历史上的具体案例,比如2008年的金融危机,来佐证他的观点。这种方法使得抽象的理论变得更加生动和易于理解。我尤其喜欢他对于“非理性繁荣”的分析,以及它如何通过信贷的过度扩张而产生。这种繁荣往往伴随着资产价格的泡沫,最终以痛苦的调整告终。作者的分析让我更加警惕那些看似美好的经济增长,而是去探究其背后的资金来源和可持续性。

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《金钱、银行信贷与经济周期》的语言风格是一种既严谨又富有洞察力的叙述。作者在论证过程中,并没有回避复杂的概念,而是以一种循序渐进的方式,引导读者理解它们。他对历史事件的引用,例如大萧条、以及其他区域性金融危机,都服务于他阐述理论的目的是,而非简单地罗列事实。我注意到作者在书中反复强调,经济周期的驱动因素并非总是外部的冲击,而是内生于信贷扩张与收缩的循环之中。这种观点对于我们理解当前经济形势,以及未来可能面临的风险,提供了宝贵的视角。他对于“繁荣”和“萧条”之间的动态平衡的描绘,让我觉得经济学并非是一门枯燥的数字游戏,而是与人类的心理、行为和社会结构紧密相连。

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显然不在我的学习区。

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这本书需要反复翻阅。读完3,4,5,6章就知道银行信用扩张和经济危机的关系,还有资本结构和生产结构。最后两章提出回归100%金本位的方案和规划。第七章批评了各种歪理学说。第一章介绍了存款银行和储蓄银行的区别。第二章讲历史。另外,这本书的附注丰富的惊人。

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五颗星太少。

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显然不在我的学习区。

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显然不在我的学习区。

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