Making smart choices is a fundamental life skill, relevant to anyone: managers, doctors, lawyers, teachers, students, parents, young, old. Your decisions will shape and influence the course of your professional career and the quality of your personal life - the ability to make good decisions is a key factor in determining whether you achieve your goals. To help you increase your chances of finding satisfying solutions, "Smart Choices" blends the art and science of decision making into a straightforward, proven approach for making tough choices. "Smart Choices" doesn't tell you what to decide; it tells you how. Authors Hammond, Keeney, and Raiffa, among the world's best-known experts on resolving complex decision problems, blend the art and the science of decision making into accessible steps that lead you to consider your choices both intuitively and analytically. Here, for the first time, is a flexible system that can be applied to business decisions, to personal decisions, to family decisions - to any decision you make.
一、开始工作:10个诊断性问题(全神贯注于重大问题,最重要的因素很少超过三个) 二、明智选择的八个要素: 1、把精力放在正确的决策问题上: 这里的机遇是什么。决策问题是什么的假设,触发这个问题的情景,触发器与问题之间的联系,尽量清晰陈述。质疑问题定义中的限制条件...
评分Smart Choice》 --A Practical Guide To Making Better Decisions By John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, Howard Raiffa 生活是选择的过程。如果您曾经因为面临抉择而左右为难、转辗难寐,曾经因为错误的选择而后悔不已,请阅读《Smart Choice》。这是一本好书,A Practical G...
评分人类心理上的通病: 1)援引自己过去的经历来判断眼下的决策问题 2)不经过调查和求证,就轻易地用所谓“事实”来做决策 3)把眼前的决策问题从过程、环境中孤立出来,犯以偏概全的错误(赢得了一个战役却输掉了整个战争) 4)先入为见 5)不思变动(...
评分精进学思行 精进学思行 今天 好工作:钱多、事少、离家近 好岗位:位高,权重、责任轻 但现实往往是骨感的,常常是多个选项中,一个选项在某些方面好,但是在另外的一些方面差,换个选项也是这样,如果A选项在各个方面都比B好,那就不存在决策的必要性,本文进入决策常规环节的...
评分老师逼着读的 不过很好
评分PrOACT URL: Problems Objectives Alternatives Consequences Trade-offs Uncertainties Risks Linked Decisions 心理学一章要经常看看。
评分老师逼着读的 不过很好
评分老师逼着读的 不过很好
评分PrOACT URL: Problems Objectives Alternatives Consequences Trade-offs Uncertainties Risks Linked Decisions 心理学一章要经常看看。
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