Making smart choices is a fundamental life skill, relevant to anyone: managers, doctors, lawyers, teachers, students, parents, young, old. Your decisions will shape and influence the course of your professional career and the quality of your personal life - the ability to make good decisions is a key factor in determining whether you achieve your goals. To help you increase your chances of finding satisfying solutions, "Smart Choices" blends the art and science of decision making into a straightforward, proven approach for making tough choices. "Smart Choices" doesn't tell you what to decide; it tells you how. Authors Hammond, Keeney, and Raiffa, among the world's best-known experts on resolving complex decision problems, blend the art and the science of decision making into accessible steps that lead you to consider your choices both intuitively and analytically. Here, for the first time, is a flexible system that can be applied to business decisions, to personal decisions, to family decisions - to any decision you make.
人类心理上的通病: 1)援引自己过去的经历来判断眼下的决策问题 2)不经过调查和求证,就轻易地用所谓“事实”来做决策 3)把眼前的决策问题从过程、环境中孤立出来,犯以偏概全的错误(赢得了一个战役却输掉了整个战争) 4)先入为见 5)不思变动(...
評分 評分Proact法还是挺实用的,还有等价置换法也很实用,其实平时在生活里就已经在不知不觉的运用这个方法做决策了,现在更加系统化了。 讲到心理陷阱那里感觉内容不太深入,也不全面,建议参考《决策与判断》还有其他心理学书一起看,效果更好。 语言表达上感觉有点啰嗦,像“开放...
評分内容逻辑清晰,操作步骤明确,值得作为实践指南的一本书。 决策是我们每个人每天都要做的事情。学习决策的方法,就可以在面对人生各种难题的时候,不会慌张,不会害怕,真正做到一往无前,无所畏惧。 这本书把我们决策的思维过程拆分成了一个个独立的环节,比较深刻和富有洞察...
評分一、开始工作:10个诊断性问题(全神贯注于重大问题,最重要的因素很少超过三个) 二、明智选择的八个要素: 1、把精力放在正确的决策问题上: 这里的机遇是什么。决策问题是什么的假设,触发这个问题的情景,触发器与问题之间的联系,尽量清晰陈述。质疑问题定义中的限制条件...
老師逼著讀的 不過很好
评分PrOACT URL: Problems Objectives Alternatives Consequences Trade-offs Uncertainties Risks Linked Decisions 心理學一章要經常看看。
评分老師逼著讀的 不過很好
评分PrOACT URL: Problems Objectives Alternatives Consequences Trade-offs Uncertainties Risks Linked Decisions 心理學一章要經常看看。
评分PrOACT URL: Problems Objectives Alternatives Consequences Trade-offs Uncertainties Risks Linked Decisions 心理學一章要經常看看。
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