The Bottom Billion

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作者是牛津大学非洲经济研究中心主任,前世界银行发展研究部门主任,及英国政府非洲委员会顾问,非洲经济问题的世界顶级专家之一,《挣破战乱陷阱》的作者。

出版者:Oxford University Press
作者:Paul Collier
出品人:
页数:224
译者:
出版时间:2007-4-15
价格:USD 28.00
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9780195311457
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 经济 
  • 政治经济哲学 
  • 最底层的十亿贫民和贫国:最贫穷的国家为何日益衰败?如何来拯救? 
  • 经济学 
  • TheBottomBillion 
  • 政治 
  • PaulCollier 
  • 社会 
  •  
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Global poverty, Paul Collier points out, is actually falling quite rapidly for about eighty percent of the world. The real crisis lies in a group of about 50 failing states, the bottom billion, whose problems defy traditional approaches to alleviating poverty. In The Bottom Billion, Collier contends that these fifty failed states pose the central challenge of the developing world in the twenty-first century. The book shines a much needed light on this group of small nations, largely unnoticed by the industrialized West, that are dropping further and further behind the majority of the world's people, often falling into an absolute decline in living standards. A struggle rages within each of these nation between reformers and corrupt leaders--and the corrupt are winning. Collier analyzes the causes of failure, pointing to a set of traps that snare these countries, including civil war, a dependence on the extraction and export of natural resources, and bad governance. Standard solutions do not work against these traps, he writes; aid is often ineffective, and globalization can actually make matters worse, driving development to more stable nations. What the bottom billion need, Collier argues, is a bold new plan supported by the Group of Eight industrialized nations. If failed states are ever to be helped, the G8 will have to adopt preferential trade policies, new laws against corruption, and new international charters, and even conduct carefully calibrated military interventions. As former director of research for the World Bank and current Director of the Center for the Study of African Economies at Oxford University, Paul Collier has spent a lifetime working to end global poverty. In The Bottom Billion, he offers real hope for solving one of the great humanitarian crises facing the world today.

具体描述

读后感

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在这本书中,有一种说法,叫“自然资源陷阱”,用以描述这样一种现象:依常理,一地若发现有丰富的自然资源,其带来的财富应该会给当地人带来福利。但实际却很少如此,恰恰相反,丰富的自然资源会更可能给当地人带来危害。 这是因为:1.在任何地方,充分的民主往往比...  

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看了这本书,觉得中国能有今天的成就,实在很偶然。看看那些国家怎样掉进发展的陷阱中,仿佛受到了什么样的诅咒一样。

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关于导致贫穷的原因,左派的人一直认为是富人对穷人的剥削与压迫,而右派的人则认为是由于穷人自身的愚昧和懒惰。而在我看来,正所谓“致富的原因各各相似,贫穷的原因各各不同”, 刚开始的时候,穷人的产生可能是因为被剥削,可能是因为懒惰,可能是运气差,但如果持续贫穷,...  

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威廉·伊斯特利点出本书的两处硬伤:1.在国家选择上的bias,并没有任何证据表明Collier选择的这些国家在今后四十年仍会处于发展停滞的状态,也未必会被困在这些陷阱中。2.相关性不代表因果性,Collier的统计分析并不能代替逻辑推理和分析。——很好地证明了国关不能依赖于经济学和统计方法的定量研究。

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在学术界政策圈都有震撼影响力的作品/初读就被说服但经教授点拨才发现论据逻辑问题种种/读着同一本书悟出不同问题思考能力完全不是一个量级的啊差距!

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偏见

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最著名的就是traps (conflict, natural resources, landlocked, bad governance) 这么看,中国一带一路支持穷国搞基建的思路是很正确的。

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Paul Collier, 发展学界的小甜甜。

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