China's Future 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024


China's Future

简体网页||繁体网页
David Shambaugh 作者
Polity Press
译者
2016-3-1 出版日期
224 页数
USD 59.95 价格
Hardcover
丛书系列
9781509507139 图书编码

China's Future 在线电子书 图书标签: 海外中国研究  中国政治  中国研究  沈大伟  政治  政治学  中国  社会学   


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发表于2024-12-25


China's Future 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

China's Future 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

China's Future 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024



China's Future 在线电子书 用户评价

评分

同系,沈大伟理论远逊于Dickson

评分

经济社会政治外交,还比较全面吧,分析太泛泛

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very good

评分

总体的分析还是比较令人信服的,对中国目前的症结把握地也比较准确。政治制度决定论依然有局限性,譬如无法避免的人口红利的消失,以及政改就能使中国顺利经过刘易斯转点吗?也对中国目前的政经左右逆向闭口不谈。虽然很反感db评论里的China exceptionalist,但沈大伟确实没有讲出中国与其他国家横向比较之后的具体逻辑。另一点则是所谓的“新加坡模式”太泛泛而谈了,对具体的权力分配、转型方式也没有提及。不过对四条道路里中国目前可见的未来还是心里有数的,其实谁都有数,一声叹息。

评分

本书就一个观点:中国只有采取西方民主的道路才能解决目前的政治,社会,经济和外交困难。 典型的意识形态输出!

China's Future 在线电子书 著者简介

David Shambaugh is an internationally recognized authority and author on contemporary China and the international relations of Asia. At Brookings, he is a nonresident senior fellow with the Center for East Asian Policy Studies and the John L. Thornton China Center. He is also a professor of political science and international affairs and the founding director of the China Policy Program at George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs.

Shambaugh was previously a reader in Chinese politics at the University of London’s School of Oriental and African Studies, where he also served as editor of The China Quarterly. He currently serves on the board of directors of the National Committee on United States-China Relations, and is a member of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Council on Foreign Relations, U.S. Asia-Pacific Council and other public policy and scholarly organizations. Shambaugh was a fellow with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, a senior scholar with the Phi Beta Kappa Society, a senior Fulbright scholar and a distinguished research professor at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences. He has received research grants from the Ford Foundation, Rockefeller Foundation, Smith Richardson Foundation, German Marshall Fund, British Academy, International Research Exchange Board and U.S. National Academy of Sciences. He has also been a visiting scholar or professor at institutions in Australia, China, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Singapore and Russia.

Shambaugh is also a frequent commentator in the international media, he serves on a number of editorial boards and he has been a consultant to various governments, research institutions, foundations and private corporations. As an author, he has written or edited 30 books, including China Goes Global: The Partial Power (Oxford University Press, 2013), selected by The Economist, Foreign Affairs and Bloomberg News as one of the “Best Books of the Year”; Tangled Titans: The United States and China (Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2012); Charting China’s Future: Domestic & International Challenges (Routledge, 2011); China’s Communist Party: Atrophy and Adaptation (University of California Press, 2008); International Relations of Asia (Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2008); The Odyssey of China’s Imperial Art Treasures (University of Washington Press, 2007); Power Shift: China & Asia’s New Dynamics (University of California Press, 2005); and Modernizing China’s Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects (University of California Press, 2002) . Shambaugh is the co-editor and contributor of Transatlantic Relations and China: Deepening the Cooperation (German Institute of International and Security Affairs, 2008); China-Europe Relations: Perceptions, Policies & Prospects (Routledge Press, 2007); China Watching: Perspectives from Europe, Japan & the United States (Routledge Press, 2007); and Divided Diplomacy and the New Administration: Conservative vs. Liberal Alternatives (George Washington University, 2004).

Shambaugh has a bachelor’s degree in East Asian studies from the Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University, amaster’s in international affairs from Johns Hopkins University Nitze School of Advanced International Studies and he holds a doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan.


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China's Future 在线电子书 图书描述

China's future is arguably the most consequential question in global affairs. Having enjoyed unprecedented levels of growth, China is at a critical juncture in the development of its economy, society, polity, national security and international relations. The direction the nation takes at this crossroads will determine whether it stumbles and ultimately stalls or whether it continues to develop and prosper.

Will China be successful in implementing a new wave of transformational reforms that could last decades and make the country the world s leading superpower by 2025? Or will the PRC shy away from the drastic changes required and risk stagnation or even regime collapse? Or will China instead emerge as a hard, authoritarian and aggressive superstate?

In this new book, David Shambaugh, one of the world s leading Sinologists, argues that these potential pathways are all possibilities - but they depend on key decisions yet to be made by China's leaders, different institutions and groups in Chinese society, as well as being shaped by other nations. Drawing on four decades of experience studying and visiting China, Shambaugh assesses these challenges and their implications, offering a stimulating and thoughtful study of China's future for all those seeking to understand the country's likely trajectory over the coming decade and beyond.

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China's Future 在线电子书 读后感

评分

The best thing about this book is that the author discusses extensively multiple issues about China's economy, society, polity, and foreign relations, with clear and concise explanations. It is extremely helpful to people who have not lived in China on unde...

评分

沈大伟的这本新著,从观点到结构到内容,都非常简洁,不太厚,很快能读完。封面也是简单明了,契合全书风格:红底上一个大大的黄色问号,党旗色,用一种直截了当的质疑基调挑动读者的神经。 在全书的结构上,沈大伟用的是一种矩阵式的写法,他预测了未来的四种路线:极权主义...  

评分

沈大伟的这本新著,从观点到结构到内容,都非常简洁,不太厚,很快能读完。封面也是简单明了,契合全书风格:红底上一个大大的黄色问号,党旗色,用一种直截了当的质疑基调挑动读者的神经。 在全书的结构上,沈大伟用的是一种矩阵式的写法,他预测了未来的四种路线:极权主义...  

评分

沈大伟的这本新著,从观点到结构到内容,都非常简洁,不太厚,很快能读完。封面也是简单明了,契合全书风格:红底上一个大大的黄色问号,党旗色,用一种直截了当的质疑基调挑动读者的神经。 在全书的结构上,沈大伟用的是一种矩阵式的写法,他预测了未来的四种路线:极权主义...  

评分

The best thing about this book is that the author discusses extensively multiple issues about China's economy, society, polity, and foreign relations, with clear and concise explanations. It is extremely helpful to people who have not lived in China on unde...

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