The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024


The Drunkard's Walk

简体网页||繁体网页
Leonard Mlodinow 作者
Pantheon
译者
2008-5-13 出版日期
272 页数
GBP 15.93 价格
Hardcover
丛书系列
9780375424045 图书编码

The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 图书标签: 概率统计  统计学  概率  statistics  思维  心理学  统计  数学   


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发表于2024-05-17


The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024



The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 用户评价

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Randomness VS Necessity. 事情的发生更多是因为能力还是运气?

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history of randomness... it's not bad. but not my area of interest. read about half of it

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关于概率统计的科普读物。文字流畅,故事精彩。

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顺着历史脉络梳理了自己常常倏地跳出狂外的不切实际,解惑,自省。

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这本书里说的知识可能简单了一点,但其例子和文笔都无比精彩,发人身省。

The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 著者简介

Leonard Mlodinow was born in Chicago, Illinois, received his PhD in theoretical physics from the University of California at Berkeley, and is the author of five best-sellers. His book The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules our Lives was a New York Times Bestseller, Editor's Choice, and Notable Book of the Year, and was short-listed for the Royal Society book award. His book Subliminal won the PEN/Wilson award for literary science writing. His other books include two co-authored with physicist Stephen Hawking -- A Briefer History of Time, and The Grand Design. In addition to his books and research articles, he has taught at Caltech, written for the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and Forbes magazine, among other publications, and for television series such as McGyver and Star Trek: the Next Generation. www.leonardmlodinow.com


The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 图书目录


The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 在线电子书下载

The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 图书描述

In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious cases, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.

The rise and fall of your favorite movie star of the most reviled CEO--in fact, of all our destinies--reflects as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single-season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery.

How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars, the highest rating, in one journal and in another it was called the worst wine of the decade? Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of change and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.

Offering readers not only a tour of randomness, chance, and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man fresh from a night at the bar.

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The Drunkard's Walk 在线电子书 读后感

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正如这本书的副标题所说的,How Randomness Rules Our Lives,书里主要阐述的是如何认识随机性对我们生活的影响。 各章节的笔记见:http://book.douban.com/annotation/19391977/ 作者从历史发展的角度讲述了人们一步步认识随机性,并由此建立了概率论和统计方法的过程。书中...  

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除了介绍基本统计和概率的概念,还有关于专家的人物介绍,满有趣的。 人物描述都非常的生动,比如,从前的学习,只知道Fisher创立了好多tests, 现在,这些专家不再仅仅是一些枯燥的名字,更是有血肉的人了。 统计基本概念方面,我想这本书是除了课本以外,讲的最好的了。而且...  

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醉汉的脚步虽然是一本数学科普书,实则在探讨人生观了。我们的大脑习惯于因果性,不适应随机性,会事后诸葛亮的赋予结果以原因和模式,会羊群效应般的从众,这些也许出于本能中对安全的需求。 这本书至少给出了认识客观事实、认识成败、思索人生的另一个角度。既然随机性在事...  

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这本书还是几年前在大学里面看的,却一直记得很清楚,印象深刻。 作者用幽默的笔调从概率的角度,为我们分析了为什么有时候你努力了却还是不成功(0如果成功是-----)。 为什么呢?因为一件事情要发展到最后一步,即他的结果,是由许多因素影响的。往往我们只看到了我们可控...  

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醉汉的脚步虽然是一本数学科普书,实则在探讨人生观了。我们的大脑习惯于因果性,不适应随机性,会事后诸葛亮的赋予结果以原因和模式,会羊群效应般的从众,这些也许出于本能中对安全的需求。 这本书至少给出了认识客观事实、认识成败、思索人生的另一个角度。既然随机性在事...  

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