Fooled by Randomness

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. The international bestseller Fooled by Randomness has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York.

出版者:Penguin
作者:Nassim Nicholas Taleb
出品人:
页数:368
译者:
出版时间:2007-5
价格:USD 15.95
装帧:Paperback
isbn号码:9780141031484
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  • 统计学 
  • 英文原版 
  • 思维 
  • 英文原著 
  • 英文 
  • stochastics 
  • 心理学 
  • 思想 
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Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist. This irreverent bestseller has shattered the illusions of people around the world by teaching them how to recognize randomness. Now it can do the same for you.

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中学大学一直踢球,但先天身体素质不好,速度不快,身材不高,两个冲刺就喘,腿上没有发达的肌肉,发个角球到禁区都成问题。 这样的人如何在球队滥竽充数,是一个高深的技巧。今天把我中学校队、大学系队,毕业多年参加业余足球联赛还能时而蒙进球的秘籍公开,不是有本书叫《生...  

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某同学向我推荐这本书的时候说,这是一本数学书,其中的内容有些晦涩难懂,需要花点功夫理解,但是最后还不失为一本对投资生涯有意义的书。于是我怀着敬畏之心开始了阅读,可是我很快发现,与其说这是一本数学书,倒不如说这是本哲学书,而且是一本非常聪明的哲学书。 这位狂...  

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呵呵,一年半没买闲书了,印象中上次破例是为了伍迪艾伦《门萨的娼妓》,口袋里只有25块,八折拿下定价25元的书,感觉竟像大大的赚了一笔。 这次在光合作用找教材,寻未果,但又被我不小心瞄到了这一本。这次的经验再次验证了边际效用递减的逆否命题~~~ 书名本是Fooled By Rand...  

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某同学向我推荐这本书的时候说,这是一本数学书,其中的内容有些晦涩难懂,需要花点功夫理解,但是最后还不失为一本对投资生涯有意义的书。于是我怀着敬畏之心开始了阅读,可是我很快发现,与其说这是一本数学书,倒不如说这是本哲学书,而且是一本非常聪明的哲学书。 这位狂...  

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小概率事件隐含大趋势

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几乎没有一章是废话,阅读还不枯燥。这是2014年读过最好的书。它解释股价是随机性?那么多的股神?为什么有些人能预测等等。我真的喜欢这本书!

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几乎没有一章是废话,阅读还不枯燥。这是2014年读过最好的书。它解释股价是随机性?那么多的股神?为什么有些人能预测等等。我真的喜欢这本书!

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学数理统计的孩子表示对这种吹水耍嘴皮子的书欣赏不能。。。。orz。。

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小概率事件隐含大趋势

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