Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 統計學 英文原版 思維 英文原著 英文 stochastics 心理學 思想
發表於2025-02-01
Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025
幾乎沒有一章是廢話,閱讀還不枯燥。這是2014年讀過最好的書。它解釋股價是隨機性?那麼多的股神?為什麼有些人能預測等等。我真的喜歡這本書!
評分學數理統計的孩子錶示對這種吹水耍嘴皮子的書欣賞不能。。。。orz。。
評分幾乎沒有一章是廢話,閱讀還不枯燥。這是2014年讀過最好的書。它解釋股價是隨機性?那麼多的股神?為什麼有些人能預測等等。我真的喜歡這本書!
評分小概率事件隱含大趨勢
評分學數理統計的孩子錶示對這種吹水耍嘴皮子的書欣賞不能。。。。orz。。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. The international bestseller Fooled by Randomness has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York.
Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist. This irreverent bestseller has shattered the illusions of people around the world by teaching them how to recognize randomness. Now it can do the same for you.
中学大学一直踢球,但先天身体素质不好,速度不快,身材不高,两个冲刺就喘,腿上没有发达的肌肉,发个角球到禁区都成问题。 这样的人如何在球队滥竽充数,是一个高深的技巧。今天把我中学校队、大学系队,毕业多年参加业余足球联赛还能时而蒙进球的秘籍公开,不是有本书叫《生...
評分这本书可以带来清醒。 纵观全书,我觉得主要讲的就是人往往被随机性所愚弄,根据以往或现在发生的事实归纳推断出结论,并以为这是很正确的,其实却忽略了那概率中未发生的事实,而随着时间的推移,那些事实很可能就发生了。对于交易员来说,就是相信自己归纳总结出来的方法已经...
評分 評分这本书可以带来清醒。 纵观全书,我觉得主要讲的就是人往往被随机性所愚弄,根据以往或现在发生的事实归纳推断出结论,并以为这是很正确的,其实却忽略了那概率中未发生的事实,而随着时间的推移,那些事实很可能就发生了。对于交易员来说,就是相信自己归纳总结出来的方法已经...
評分Fooled by Randomness 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025