A pioneering classic in Dow Theory. "If you are a serious student of investing, you owe it to yourself to 'go back to the future' and read this book." -Charles B. Carlson, Editor of "Dow Theory Forecast". The Dow Theory is consistently one of the best strategies for understanding and predicting the stock market, and when it is applied as a method of predictable forecast, it is known as the "barometer." This finance classic offers tips and trends that William Hamilton observed over the years in the market, offering a view of market behavior that remains perpetually current. Hamilton, a contemporary of Charles H. Dow, presents a clear and in-depth discussion of the Dow Theory and its explanation of averages and affinity for predictable cycles of panic and prosperity. Provides an analysis of the stock market and its history since 1897. This book is a springboard upon which current Dow Theory has thrived. New foreword by Charles Carlson. The late William P. Hamilton originally published The Stock Market Barometer in 1922. Hamilton spent a career in financial journalism and became an editor of The Wall Street Journal.
一 这是一本最早出版于1922年的著作。 二 结合当时的状况我们可以看到,当时的人们总是以为股票的涨跌取决于几个操纵者,或金融集团等,而认识不到股市运行自身的规律,或者说人们处在朦胧中寻找股市普适规律的萌芽阶段。 三 从另外一个角度来讲,即使是一个普通人,也比一百年...
評分读了两遍。一遍读的时候走神过多,直到看到最后一章,才明白这本书在说什么。于是又看了一遍。囧。 心得: 1.市场自有其走势。分解来看,又有三种走势。 2.任何操纵行为都不能影响主要走势,即使是次级走势都很困难。不过过分的相信基恩。他也只是在牛市中派发了一支股票而已...
評分原谅我只看了一半就来写书评,确实这本书没有什么确实的指导意义,不如去看看专业投机原理还有日本蜡烛图新解。某种意义上,这本书也提供了一个参考,作为一本历史书,其实里面杂乱无章的碎片在今天还是在重演着,以史为鉴即使你最后还是搞不明白什么主要走势次级折返日内杂波...
評分道氏理论是所有市场技术分析研究的鼻祖。稍有股市经历的人都对它有所耳闻,而其中大多数人是尊重它的。虽然许多人在制定投资策略时或多或少都在考虑道氏理论,但是他们从未意识到它是纯粹的技术分析。它所根据的不是别的,而是股市本身的行为(通常用股价指数来表达),并绝不...
評分我很痛苦地读完了这本书,因为这本书的题目跟本书要阐述的内容完全就不是一回事。 这本书其实阐述的是股市是经济的晴雨表,股市的走势是未来一段时间经济的预言,所以这书名应该叫做“股市是经济的晴雨表” 不知道是为了能更多得卖给参与股市的读者还是翻译的水平问题,但我...
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