Plight of the Fortune Tellers 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2024

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Riccardo Rebonato 作者

Princeton University Press

译者

2010-11-28 出版日期

328 页数

USD 22.95 价格

Paperback

丛书系列

9780691148175 图书编码

Plight of the Fortune Tellers 在线电子书图书标签: 金融 Risk Investment Finance

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Plight of the Fortune Tellers 在线电子书 epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 下载 2024

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Today's top financial professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading - and puts everyone at risk. In "Plight of the Fortune Tellers", Riccardo Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision-making to our financial planning. Presenting a financial model that uses probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory, Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about risk management. He offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution: managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. "Plight of the Fortune Tellers" is a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. In a new preface, Rebonato explains how the ideas presented in this book fit into the context of the global financial crisis that followed its original publication. He argues that risk managers are still stuck in a probabilistic rut, and need to engage with the structural causes of real events.

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