Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, "The Theory That Would Not Die" is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest scientific controversies of all time. Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years - at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA decoding to Homeland Security. "The Theory That Would Not Die" is a vivid account of the generations-long dispute over one of the greatest breakthroughs in the history of applied mathematics and statistics.
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读后感
许多人都说这本书的专业度不够，看来我以后还得研究研究数学。 开头说贝叶斯法则一言以蔽之，就是通过参考新的客观信息，可以将我们的旧观念改进为更好的观念。并说，这是一个从experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理论的情况下，做判断的良好方法。也就是说，它...
评分许多人都说这本书的专业度不够，看来我以后还得研究研究数学。 开头说贝叶斯法则一言以蔽之，就是通过参考新的客观信息，可以将我们的旧观念改进为更好的观念。并说，这是一个从experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理论的情况下，做判断的良好方法。也就是说，它...
评分许多人都说这本书的专业度不够，看来我以后还得研究研究数学。 开头说贝叶斯法则一言以蔽之，就是通过参考新的客观信息，可以将我们的旧观念改进为更好的观念。并说，这是一个从experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理论的情况下，做判断的良好方法。也就是说，它...
评分许多人都说这本书的专业度不够，看来我以后还得研究研究数学。 开头说贝叶斯法则一言以蔽之，就是通过参考新的客观信息，可以将我们的旧观念改进为更好的观念。并说，这是一个从experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理论的情况下，做判断的良好方法。也就是说，它...
评分许多人都说这本书的专业度不够，看来我以后还得研究研究数学。 开头说贝叶斯法则一言以蔽之，就是通过参考新的客观信息，可以将我们的旧观念改进为更好的观念。并说，这是一个从experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理论的情况下，做判断的良好方法。也就是说，它...
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评分Bayes
评分贝叶斯学派的人应该也不怎么喜欢这本书吧。
评分拉普拉斯粉乱入试图分裂贝叶斯朋友圈，果然是人心可谓。
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