How to Lie with Statistics 在线电子书 图书标签: Statistics 统计 统计学 科普 英文原版 思维 经济 数学
发表于2025-05-20
How to Lie with Statistics 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025
真是适合给大众看的科普,我看了感觉教益良多,虽然有些地方偏啰嗦,适合跳着看重点。
评分值得一读,数理统计说谎有两个方面:一个是操弄数据,一个是逻辑谬误。对付前者,值得一做的事是去学习数理统计基本知识,对付后者,就要加强逻辑思维能力了。
评分1954年的书,基本思想还是能看看,实在是启蒙书籍,连中位数,众数,平均数还要拿一个chapter来讲。大学本科或者现代人应该都了解。
评分作者怎么有点左派宣传家的意思?
评分此书甚好,可结合李世默的TED演讲一起看。最简单技巧就是只放出自己想让观众看到的一面,只给出这一个方面的数据,观众自己就会脑补出全貌,被引导得出谬论 @字润之
达莱尔·哈夫,美国统计专家。1913年出生在美国爱荷华州,毕业于爱荷华州立大学(the State University of lowa),获得学士学位和硕士学位,在此期间他由于成绩优异加入了美国大学优等生的荣誉学会(Phi Beta Kappa),同时还参加了社会心理学、统计学以及智力测验等研究项目。达莱尔·哈夫的文章多见于《哈泼斯》、《星期六邮报》、《时尚先生》以及《纽约时报》等美国顶尖媒体。1963年,由于他的贡献被授予国家学院钟奖(National School Bell )
"There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.
Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!
Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.
Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton
PS:有人说它简单,殊不知德国统计学教授《统计数据的真相》一书的作者瓦尔特·克莱默先生将之誉为“一切灵感的源泉”,我想这就是大家的魅力,化复杂为简单堪称智慧 有人一听“统计”就摇头,靠近一些,翻开读上两段,还统计一个“清白”…… ——————————...
评分How to Lie with Statistics 在线电子书 pdf 下载 txt下载 epub 下载 mobi 下载 2025