How to Lie with Statistics 在線電子書 圖書標籤: Statistics 統計 統計學 科普 英文原版 思維 經濟 數學
發表於2025-03-29
How to Lie with Statistics 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025
一本小書,科普統計思維,瞭解統計方法用的不對時會帶來的誤導性結論。常識性防騙手冊。不過有點囉嗦。
評分一本小書,科普統計思維,瞭解統計方法用的不對時會帶來的誤導性結論。常識性防騙手冊。不過有點囉嗦。
評分實際操作中,要在短時間內發現一個數據的無用或者欺騙性可能是件很復雜的事,雖然基本原理就那麼些。
評分還不錯。對於專業人士當然簡單瞭些。
評分有點意思。但看完瞭,我都不知道以後怎麼辦好瞭,懷疑數據,卻又無從證實。
達萊爾·哈夫,美國統計專傢。1913年齣生在美國愛荷華州,畢業於愛荷華州立大學(the State University of lowa),獲得學士學位和碩士學位,在此期間他由於成績優異加入瞭美國大學優等生的榮譽學會(Phi Beta Kappa),同時還參加瞭社會心理學、統計學以及智力測驗等研究項目。達萊爾·哈夫的文章多見於《哈潑斯》、《星期六郵報》、《時尚先生》以及《紐約時報》等美國頂尖媒體。1963年,由於他的貢獻被授予國傢學院鍾奬(National School Bell )
"There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.
Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!
Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.
Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton
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評分前段时间看到一份数据,说中国人均存款是7万多。新浪微博做了一个热点话题,问“你拖后腿了吗”?如果新浪多点节操,这个话题的相关问题应该是:“你又被平均数据忽悠了吗?” 互联网带来的信息剧增给我们处理信息的能力提出了新的要求。尤其在中国,太多中国人缺乏批...
How to Lie with Statistics 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2025