About the Author
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics and director of the Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy at New York University. He is the author of 16 books, including The Predictioneer’s Game.Alastair Smith is professor of politics at New York University. The recipient of three grants from the National Science Foundation and author of three books, he was chosen as the 2005 Karl Deutsch Award winner, given biennially to the best international relations scholar under the age of 40.
In this title, two renowned political scientists make the contrarian, research-based case that - regardless of any other factors political scientists or historians may find relevant - the calculations and actions of rulers are the driving force of all politics, and the primary goal of rulers is to maintain power as long as possible. In this clever and accessible book, Bueno de Mesquita and Smith introduce us to their perspective of the political world. They bare the logic of politics, starting from the simple premise that leaders pursue their own ends, and that populations either have, or more often don't have, the power to constrain them to a significant degree. The book is organized by a series interconnected questions, among them: Why do leaders who wreck their countries keep their jobs for so long? Why do autocracies have dismal economic policies? How are there so many suffering people in resource-rich lands? Why do 'natural disasters' disproportionately strike poor nations? Why do 'evil-doers' so often collect loads of foreign aid? Why are democracies so good at war? In answering these questions, the authors look at politics, the choices of public policies, and even decisions about war and peace as lying outside of conventional thinking about culture and history. They set aside ideas of civic virtue and psychopathology. Such notions simply are not central to understanding what leaders do and why they do it. Instead, Bueno de Mesquita and Smith see politicians as self-interested louts, just the sort of people you wouldn't want to have over for dinner, but without whom you might not have dinner at all. And from this perspective, they are able to answer some perplexing mysteries of politics, shed light on what we read in the newspapers every single day, and offer realistic ways of improving human governance.
最近在看《独裁者手册》这本书,已经过半。通过这本书,读者会发现,其实所有独裁者与民主国家,都具备相同的潜在选民,只是规模和“收买”的形式和范围的区别。这本书也是一本“管理学”意义的书。 潜在选民分为三个即:可替代者,有影响者和不可替代者(致胜联盟)。 小规模...
评分 评分本来对某些出版社愿意引进这样的书还是很高兴的,但如果把一本书经过断章取义的处理后再出版,很难讲还算不算做善事,因为有可能给原著抹黑。 翻了没几页,就看到“东北亚某个国家”这样的词了,本能的认为原著不可能这样写,于是找来英文原著做了简单的对照。没想到这一对照,...
评分 评分重点看了看中文版删节部分,再看的话评价没有那么高了,部分观点值得商榷,不过仍然是值得看的好书。
评分今年读的最后一本书,和 why nation fails相得益彰。一个是讲政治,一个讲经济,其实说的都是同一件事。以前拿起the logic of political survival,结果没看下去,模型有点太复杂,这本确实非常容易读。
评分选择人理论(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selectorate_theory)有点像用历史结果来决定建模准确性的游戏论的一个特例,优点是这个模型适合解释很多有趣的现象,尤其是近代非洲诸国独立后经历的各种独裁。如果你经常纳闷为何一个独裁者能稳固政权那么久,也许这本书可以提供一些答案,或者至少是思考的源头。
评分今年读的最后一本书,和 why nation fails相得益彰。一个是讲政治,一个讲经济,其实说的都是同一件事。以前拿起the logic of political survival,结果没看下去,模型有点太复杂,这本确实非常容易读。
评分很讨厌这种写作风格,感觉不舒服,要不就完全严谨学术写作,要不就写出畅销书应有的水准,这种mixed的真心觉得做作讨厌。\\#多日后为写paper的吐槽# 真是的学术著作吗??敢不敢再不严谨点?
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