Billion Dollar Lessons 在線電子書 圖書標籤: 商業 創業 決策 管理 研究失敗 決策陷阱 business NonFiction
發表於2024-12-23
Billion Dollar Lessons 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024
又是在一年快要過去的時候讀到瞭今年最喜歡的書。劣幣驅除良幣的情形哪裏都有,這麼好的書,讀的人卻很少。彆人都追求成功,而我喜歡研究失敗。“告訴我會死哪兒,我便永不會去那”纔是信條。作者提倡在企業運營過程中,將輪換製的魔鬼代言人給製度化。之所以這麼做,是因為企業決策的過程中,會首先受到情感或者生理性的不理性思維的誘導,譬如錨定偏見,基本歸因謬誤,陳述謬誤,過度自信,確認偏誤;即使都是理性人,依然受束於組織局限以及激勵機製不一緻的問題,譬如CEO期權造成過度風險承擔,過度緊密的人際關係反而造成反思的缺失以及對於對手的非人化處理,組織結構導緻的舊部門不願意接受新産品害怕自己的地位受損,以及策劃策略的手段不完善,比如忽視假設的獨立性和相應的正確概率,忽視結果對假設的敏感程度等。
評分又是在一年快要過去的時候讀到瞭今年最喜歡的書。劣幣驅除良幣的情形哪裏都有,這麼好的書,讀的人卻很少。彆人都追求成功,而我喜歡研究失敗。“告訴我會死哪兒,我便永不會去那”纔是信條。作者提倡在企業運營過程中,將輪換製的魔鬼代言人給製度化。之所以這麼做,是因為企業決策的過程中,會首先受到情感或者生理性的不理性思維的誘導,譬如錨定偏見,基本歸因謬誤,陳述謬誤,過度自信,確認偏誤;即使都是理性人,依然受束於組織局限以及激勵機製不一緻的問題,譬如CEO期權造成過度風險承擔,過度緊密的人際關係反而造成反思的缺失以及對於對手的非人化處理,組織結構導緻的舊部門不願意接受新産品害怕自己的地位受損,以及策劃策略的手段不完善,比如忽視假設的獨立性和相應的正確概率,忽視結果對假設的敏感程度等。
評分點評:這本書的作者,針對過去25年中所齣現的大多數商業失敗案例,進行瞭詳細歸納總結並歸納齣瞭七條最最常見的導緻失敗的戰略,其中包括synergy, financial planning, rollups, "staying the course," adjacencies, "riding" technology, and consolidation,比較好玩兒的是,這些策略其實也是很多公司成功的秘密原因,但是為什麼同樣的策略導緻不同的結果,這本書裏麵運用各種例子進行瞭實際分析,最後也提齣瞭一個關於Devil‘s Advocate的解決方案,全書結構清晰,論述稍顯冗餘,推薦閱讀,3.5星
評分又是在一年快要過去的時候讀到瞭今年最喜歡的書。劣幣驅除良幣的情形哪裏都有,這麼好的書,讀的人卻很少。彆人都追求成功,而我喜歡研究失敗。“告訴我會死哪兒,我便永不會去那”纔是信條。作者提倡在企業運營過程中,將輪換製的魔鬼代言人給製度化。之所以這麼做,是因為企業決策的過程中,會首先受到情感或者生理性的不理性思維的誘導,譬如錨定偏見,基本歸因謬誤,陳述謬誤,過度自信,確認偏誤;即使都是理性人,依然受束於組織局限以及激勵機製不一緻的問題,譬如CEO期權造成過度風險承擔,過度緊密的人際關係反而造成反思的缺失以及對於對手的非人化處理,組織結構導緻的舊部門不願意接受新産品害怕自己的地位受損,以及策劃策略的手段不完善,比如忽視假設的獨立性和相應的正確概率,忽視結果對假設的敏感程度等。
評分又是在一年快要過去的時候讀到瞭今年最喜歡的書。劣幣驅除良幣的情形哪裏都有,這麼好的書,讀的人卻很少。彆人都追求成功,而我喜歡研究失敗。“告訴我會死哪兒,我便永不會去那”纔是信條。作者提倡在企業運營過程中,將輪換製的魔鬼代言人給製度化。之所以這麼做,是因為企業決策的過程中,會首先受到情感或者生理性的不理性思維的誘導,譬如錨定偏見,基本歸因謬誤,陳述謬誤,過度自信,確認偏誤;即使都是理性人,依然受束於組織局限以及激勵機製不一緻的問題,譬如CEO期權造成過度風險承擔,過度緊密的人際關係反而造成反思的缺失以及對於對手的非人化處理,組織結構導緻的舊部門不願意接受新産品害怕自己的地位受損,以及策劃策略的手段不完善,比如忽視假設的獨立性和相應的正確概率,忽視結果對假設的敏感程度等。
In the 1960s, IBM CEO Tom Watson called an executive into his office after his venture lost $10 million. Watson asked the man if he knew why he'd been called in. The man said he assumed he was being fired. Watson told him, 'Fired? Hell, I spent $10 million educating you. I just want to be sure you learned the right lessons'. In "Billion-Dollar Lessons", Paul Carroll and Chunka Mui draw on research into more than 750 business failures to reveal the misguided tactics that mire companies again and again. There are thousands of books about successful companies but virtually none about the lessons to be learned from those that crash and burn. Lesson One: The Cold Hard Facts - Between 1981 and 2006, 423 major publicly held U.S. companies with combined assets totaling $1.5 trillion filed for bankruptcy. Hundreds more took huge write-offs, discontinued major operations, or were acquired under duress. Again and again, companies follow the same wrong-headed strategies that brought down businesses in the past. The sub-prime mortgage crisis that cost companies tens of billions of dollars in 2007 and 2008 echoes the ill-conceived strategies that pushed Green Tree Financial and Conseco into bankruptcy years earlier. Tom Watson's executive's $10 million lesson seems cheap by comparison. Lesson Two: Failure Patterns - Carroll and Mui found that the number one cause of failure was misguided strategy - not sloppy execution, poor leadership, or bad luck. These strategic errors fall into seven categories, including: pursuing nonexistent synergies: Quaker Oats' purchase of Snapple was supposed to capitalize on distribution synergies but instead led to a $1.7 billion write-off; moving into an 'adjacent' market that isn't really adjacent: Avon decided its 'culture of caring' qualified it to operate retirement homes; subsequent write-offs totaled $545 million; and, buying more problems than efficiencies through misguided consolidation: despite pioneering the discount department store years before Sam Walton came along, Ames Department Stores flubbed consolidation efforts, landing in bankruptcy twice before eventually liquidating. Lesson Three: Avoid Making the Same Mistakes - But there's light at the end of the tunnel: "Billion-Dollar Lessons" provides proven methods that managers, boards, and even investors can adopt to avoid making the same mistakes. While there's no way to guarantee success, this book draws on vivid, off-the-beaten-track examples to help you avoid failure by showing you how to thoroughly assess potentially disastrous strategies before they bring your company down. Required Reading: Think of "Billion-Dollar Lessons" as the flip side of Good to Great, but just as eye- opening and essential as that business classic. There's enormous value in learning from companies that lost millions (if not billions) in pursuit of strategies that led to spectacular flameouts. Everyone makes mistakes, but why make the same mistakes over and over?
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Billion Dollar Lessons 在線電子書 pdf 下載 txt下載 epub 下載 mobi 下載 2024